Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: ABC/POST Bush, Primary, Iraq


A new ABC News/Washington Post national survey (Post story, results; ABC story, results) of 1,114 adults (conducted 9/27 through 9/30) finds:

  • 33% approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president -- "equal to his career low in Post-ABC polls;" 64% disapprove.
  • Among 592 Democrats and those who lean Democratic, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (53% to 20%) in a national primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 13%. All other candidates trail at less than five percent each.
  • Among 398 Republicans and those who lean Republican, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (34% to 17%) in a national primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 12%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 11%, and former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 8%. All other candidates trail at less than five percent each.
  • 67% say Congress should reduce the Bush administration's request for 190 billion dollars to fund the wars and related U.S. activites in Iraq and Afghanistan over the next year, which "is about 40 billion dollars more than first estimated;" 27% say Congress should approve the request.

Update: ABC story and results on the 2008 national primary now available.

 

Comments
Gary Kilbride:

How does Fred Thompson get over the top with ominous numbers like that? Only 12% of Republican leaners identify Thompson as strongest leader, and just 13% say he has the best chance to be elected president. Giuliani is at 47 and 50 in those two categories.

Heck, Thompson doesn't even win the Republican "core values" category, which is very even among Giuliani, McCain and Thompson.

The flirtation with Thompson as savior may have faded already, as hinted by Giuliani's improving numbers in the strongly support or somewhat support categories. Giuliani had been leaking in those areas, down to 32% and 36% in the strongly support category the past two Washington Post surveys, with somewhat at 67% and 63%. But now that Thompson may be a dud, Rudy is back to 42% strongly support and 56% somewhat.

The only thing that gives me pause in that conclusion is the makeup of the sample, more moderate than typical. The sample includes 45% moderates and only 30% self identified conservatives. That's more moderates than the norm and fewer conservatives.

Hillary's 61% strongly support number is very impressive. She may not be my preferred choice but I'd love for a Democrat to win the "vote for" category for a change, as opposed to relying on anti-GOP fury.

____________________

Richard:

Hillary polling 53% in an eight person race is extraordinary. This suggests that Hillary can't lose in anything other than a two man race. Obama, Edwards, Richardson, Dodd, Biden et al need to get together and come together, and all but one drop out, or Hillary is going to win the nomination easily.

____________________

slcathena:

That 53% number is indeed impressive, but I find it troubling that it's only amongst Adult Dems/Leaners. Basically, people who think their Democrats will vote for her. Not registered voters. Not likely voters. Not likely primary voters. Just people who think they are Democrat.

That's not super impressive to me, it seems like a big reason that number is higher than other polling is that it's amplifying the media echo-chamber.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR