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POLL: ABC/POST Iowa GOP Caucus


Additional results from the recent ABC News/Washington Post statewide survey (ABC story, results; Post story, results) of likely primary voters in Iowa (conducted 12/13 through 12/17) finds:

  • Among 501 likely Republican primary voters, Former Gov. Mike Huckabee leads former Gov. Mitt Romney (35% to 27%) in a statewide caucus; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 9%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Rep. Ron Paul both at 8%, Sen. John McCain at 6%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.5%.

 

Comments
amir khan:

ABC/POST polls Obama alwsya led Hillary. And it is consistent. Other polls both are with in margin of error some times one leading or lagging the other. It was always nect to neck.
I suspect ABC/post polls is biased towards Srtongly towards Obama and anti-other candidates

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Mark:

Here we go again with landline polling of isolated older voters who get their information from the very TV networks that help conduct the polls and report the "results." It's a closed circuit: The TV media reports its "projections" of likely winners thereby stacking the deck; the type of viewer who watches these reports (and doesn't consult many other sources) is the most likely kind of person to be polled; so that viewer is the one who is influenced by the advanced projections and then he or she is called by the pollsters. The younger and first-time voters with cellphones and more varied sources of news are never called. And those who used to be Republican years ago but fell away aren't called, even though many were reinvigorated about the GOP when Ron Paul came aboard. Thus only a very limited, controllable layer of the total citizenry is called -- a measley 500 and some, at that. Worse still, the projected winners are announced with only, say, 15% of precincts reporting the results, which can easily dissuade some voters from casting their votes. The FIX is in. Huckabee is a media-manufactured candidate used to trump Ron Paul,who the corporate media wonks don't want. This all proves the Media fixes elections in a subtle way. For another media view see americanfreepress.net.

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