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POLL: American Research Group IA/NH/SC


Three new American Research Group statewide surveys of likely caucus/primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (conducted 8/26 through 8/29) finds:

  • Among 600 Democrats in Iowa, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (28% to 23%) in a statewide caucus; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 20%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 13%. Among 600 Republicans, former Gov. Mitt Romney leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (27% to 17%); former Gov. Mike Huckabee trails at 14%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 13%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich at 7%, Sen. John McCain at 5%. All other candidates receive less than 5% each.
  • Among 600 Democrats in New Hampshire, Clinton leads Obama (37% to 17%) in a statewide primary; Edwards trails at 14%, Richardson at 7%. Among Republicans, Romney edges out Giuliani (27% to 23%); McCain trails at 12%, Huckabee at 9%, Thompson at 8%. All other candidates receive less than 5% each.
  • Among 600 Democrats in South Carolina, Clinton leads Edwards (32% to 24%) in a statewide primary; Obama trails at 21%. Among Republicans, Giuliani leads Thompson (26% to 21%); McCain trails at 12%, Huckabee and Romney both at 9%, Gingrich at 6%. All other candidates receive less than 5% each.

View all Iowa Caucus, New Hampshire Primary, and South Carolina Primary poll data at Pollster.com:

IOWA

AIATopDems190.png AIATopReps190.png
Democrats Republicans

NEW HAMPSHIRE

ANHTopDems190.png ANHTopReps190.png
Democrats Republicans

SOUTH CAROLINA

ASCTopDems190.png ASCTopReps190.png
Democrats Republicans

 

Comments
Paul:

In Iowa: best number Obama has had in any ARG poll; since March ARG, Huckabee has gone from 0% to 14%; Romney from 10% to 27%; Giuliani 29% to 17% and McCain 29% to 5%. In Iowa: since last ARG poll, Clinton up 6 and Obama down 14; Huckabee up 8 and Thompson down 5. In South Carolina: sincle last ARG poll, Edwards up 6 and Obama down 12; Huckabee up 6 and Thompson down 6. Conclusions: (1) Huckabee's momentum from straw poll second in Iowa is significant as he moves to bottom of top tier candidates, or top of second tier candidates; (2) Clinton looks strong in all three states; (3) Obama surged in Iowa but took a hit in NH and SC; (4) McCain looks all but done in Iowa; (5) Romney looks solid in Iowa and New Hampshire; (6) Giuliani is still strong but numbers are slipping; (7) Thompson's numbers are starting to drop - appears he needs to actually announce and really campaign and (8) Edwards look stuck in third, far behind Clinton.

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kalaba Kapundu:

Dear Sir/ Madam,

I am Kapundu Kalaba, and I have received a call from ARG but we did not talk well I think it was network problem. I would like to find out what was the call for.
I am holder of a bachelor of Science degree in Economics, and I have done some internships at some international non-governmental organisations such as UMCOR...
I will be happy to hear from you more.

Thank you and hope to hear from you soon.


Kapundu Kalaba
0027766251707

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