Eric Dienstfrey | October 1, 2007
Three new American Research Group statewide surveys of likely caucus/primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (conducted 9/26 through 9/29) find:
- Among 600 likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (30% to 24%); former Sen. John Edwards trails at 19%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 10%. Among 600 Republicans, former Gov. Mitt Romney narrowly leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (22% to 21%); former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 16%, Sen. John McCain at 11%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich at 5%.
- Among 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, Clinton leads Obama (41% to 22%); Edwards trails at 10%, Richardson at 8%. Among 600 Republicans, Romney (at 24%) narrowly leads McCain and Giuliani (both at 20%); Thompson trails at 8%, Gingrich at 6%.
- Among 600 likely Democratic primary voters in South Carolina, Clinton leads Obama (41% to 30%); Edwards trails at 7%, Richardson at 5%. Among 600 Republicans, Romney edges out Giuliani (26% to 23%) while McCain, Thompson, and Gingrich trail at 15%, 10%, and 7% respectively.
- All other candidates trail at less than five percent each.