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POLL: American Research Group IA/NH/SC


Three new American Research Group statewide surveys of likely voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (conducted 11/26 through 11/29) finds:

  • Among 600 Democrats in Iowa, Sen. Barack Obama edges out Sen. Hillary Clinton (27% to 25%) in a statewide caucus; Sen. John Edwards trails at 23%, Sen. Joe Biden at 8%. Among 600 Republicans, former Gov. Mitt Romney narrowly leads former Gov. Mike Huckabee (28% to 27%); former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 14%, Sen. John McCain and former Mayor Rudy Giuliani both at 9%.
  • Among 600 Democrats in New Hampshire, Clinton leads Obama (34% to 23%) in a statewide primary; Edwards trails at 17%. Among 600 Republicnas, Romney leads Giuliani (36% to 22%); Huckabee trails at 13%, McCain at 11%.
  • Among 600 Democrats in South Carolina, Clinton leads Obama 45% to 21% while Edwards trails at 12%, Biden at 6%. Among 600 Republicans, Giuliani narrowly leads Romney (23% to 21%) while Huckabee trails at 18%, Thompson at 13%, McCain at 10%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

 

Comments
Mark:

How is the methodology for ARG different than other polling groups, seeing Paul polling at 7 - 8 percent, and arg giving 2 - 3 percent... makes me wonder how restrictive the screenings are.

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Paul:

RE: ARG Iowa. If Guiliani and McCain finish 4th and 5th, and Huckabee runs even with Romney, one can argue that Guiliani could drop down in NH.

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