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POLL: ARG Indiana Dems


American Research Group

Indiana
Clinton 53, Obama 44

 

Comments
killias2:

"A Random Guess" - It's really hard to trust ARG these days.

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cinnamonape:

Well you'd also have to discount the very similar results from
Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided

Research2000(3/31-4/2)(400 LV) 49% Clinton 46% Obama 2% Undecided
SurveyUSA (3/29-31) (530 LV) 52% Clinton 43% Obama 1% Undecided

So the ARG poll is within the standard error of both these polls taken a day earlier.

ARG(4/2-3)(600 LV) 53% Clinton 44% Obama 2% Undecided

But the race is over a month off. I tend to think that the results are the result of the fact that neither candidate has campaigned much there as yet...so much of the support is soft.

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cinnamonape:

Well you'd also have to discount the very similar results from
Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided

Research2000(3/31-4/2)(400 LV) 49% Clinton 46% Obama 2% Undecided
SurveyUSA (3/29-31) (530 LV) 52% Clinton 43% Obama 1% Undecided

So the ARG poll is within the standard error of both these polls taken a day earlier.

ARG(4/2-3)(600 LV) 53% Clinton 44% Obama 2% Undecided

But the race is over a month off. I tend to think that the results are the result of the fact that neither candidate has campaigned much there as yet...so much of the support is soft.

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lemonfair:

Looking at the dramatic change in the last few polls from the lone poll in early 08, I'm wondering why pollster is using polls from that first source. Because it was the only poll available? Any idea why the dramatic change?

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