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POLL: ARG Iowa, New Hampshire


Two new American Research Group statewide surveys of likely primary voters/caucus goers in Iowa and New Hampshire (conducted 12/16 through 12/19) finds:

  • Among 600 likely Democratic caucus goers in Iowa, Sen Hillary Clinton runs at 29%, Sen. Barack Obama at 25%, and former Sen. John Edwards at 18% in a statewide caucus; Sen. Joe Biden trails at 8%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 7%. Among 600 likely Republican caucus goers, former Gov. Mike Huckabee leads Sen. John McCain (28% to 20%) in a statewide caucus; former Gov. Mitt Romney trails at 17%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 14%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 5%.
  • Among 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, Clinton leads Obama (38% to 24%) in a statewide primary; Edwards trails at 15%, Richardson at 5%. Among 600 likely Republican primary voters, McCain and Romney (tied at 26%) lead Giuliani (16%); Huckabee trails at 11%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margins of sampling error for each subgroup is 4%.

 

Comments
Scott Edwards:

Am I the only person who finds it odd that McCain has 'all of a sudden' started polling well in Iowa without really advertising or making any campaign stops there? He had the endorsements early in the week but that could not push him all the way to 20%. 2 polls this week show he's well over double digits again. Seems off, at least to me

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Scott Edwards:

Am I the only person who finds it odd that McCain has 'all of a sudden' started polling well in Iowa without really advertising or making any campaign stops there? He had the endorsements early in the week but that could not push him all the way to 20%. 2 polls this week show he's well over double digits again. Seems off, at least to me

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Logan:

The polls right now are all over the place. It's difficult to determine trends based on the current polls. That may have something to do with the polling firms, or more likely the holiday season.

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Anonymous:

I do not find it odd that McCain is now polling well in Iowa because he was just endorsed by the influential Des Moines Register.

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