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POLL: ARG Nevada Caucus


A new American Research Group statewide survey of likely caucus goers in Nevada (conducted 12/1 through 12/6) finds:

  • Among 600 Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (45% to 18%) in a statewide caucus; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 14%.
  • Among 600 Republicans, former GOv. Mitt Romney narrowly leads former Gov. Mike Huckabee (29% to 23%) in a statewide caucus; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 17%, Sen. John McCain at 7%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 5%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

 

Comments
Paul:

Nevada is 4th primary this year after IA, NH and MI. This early state should provide some momentum one way or the other for the candidates as there is a 10 day window between NV on Jan. 19 and SC/FL on Jan 29.

Obama really needs to improve in NV and Huckabee looks as if he has created a significant presence.

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e:

Why don't you post the standard error on these numbers so that it's obvious when things are significant? Might clear up discussion on the issue for people who don't realize that an alpha of .15 is ridiculous.
And why not post WY?

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