December 23, 2007
POLL: Boston Globe/UNH New Hampshire Primary
A new Boston Globe/UNH statewide survey (Globe story, results; UNH results) of likely primary voters in New Hampshire (conducted 12/16 through 12/20) finds:
- Among 420 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 30% and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 28% in a statewide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 14%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 7%.
- Among 405 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mitt Romney runs at 28%, Sen. John McCain at 25% in a statewide primary; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 14%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 10%, Rep. Ron Paul at 8%.
- All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.9% for both subgroups.
Correction: The original version of this post mislabeled the results for Clinton and Obama
By Eric Dienstfrey on December 23, 2007 10:19 AM | Permalink
Comments
Not to be picky, but you still haven't changed the text on your front page...
This word gets thrown around too much, but I think there is decent evidence that the prior UNH poll was a legitimate outlier (one which randomly fell outside the MOE, as will happen with about 1 in 20 polls).
Compared to NOV - UNH poll, Clinton down 7 and Obama up 9; Giuliani down 6. McCain up 8 and Huckabee up 4. Looks like winners in this poll are Obama and McCain.
The Globe has the figures for Obama and Clinton reversed--don't you have this backwards?
Posted on December 23, 2007 11:04 AM