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POLL: CBS Dem Primary


Additional results from a recent CBS News national survey (story, results) of 1,214 adults (conducted 8/8 through 8/12) finds:

  • Among 492 likely Democratic primary voters asked to choose among three candidates, Sen. Hillary Clinton (at 45%) leads Sen. Barack Obama 25% and former Sen. John Edwards (14%) in a national primary.
  • Among 1072 registered voters from both parties, 29% say Obama has "the right kind of experience to be a good president;" 51% say he does not. 59% say Clinton has the right kind of experience while 35% say she does not.
  • Among registered voters, 62% say Clinton can win the presidential election; 29% say she can not. 46% say Obama can with the presidential election while 39% say he can not.

 

Comments
Anonymous:

62% say that Hillary can win the general, while only 46% say Barack can? I wish they'd polled some follow up questions. Is the reason for this that Barack is black, and they don't think the country is ready to elect a black man nationally?

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It should be noted that 44% of the people who answered this survey hadn't heard enough about Obama to say whether their opinion was favorable or unfavorable. That would explain a lot of these numbers, and it also makes it particularly striking that Obama was nonetheless viewed as more likeable than Clinton by a double digit margin in this poll, despite that disadvantage.

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jsamuel:

these nationals are great, but Edwards is still winning in Iowa in many polls, like this new one:
http://www.one.org/polls/documents/ia/august/ONE_Poll_Iowa_Democrats_August_2007_memo.pdf

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Anonymous:

It is not particularly striking that Obama comes across as "more likeable" Fewer people know him than know Hillary. When you have 100% name recognition and have been a national figure for two decades, people already have opinions about you and not all are going to be positive. Obama's edge in "likeability" is purely reflective of not as many people knowing him well yet. If you don't know someone well, you are more likely to give them the benefit of the doubt and that leads to higher "likeability" scores.

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