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POLL: CBS Republican Primary


Additional results from the most recent CBS News national survey (story, results) of 1,282 adults (conducted 10/12 through 10/16) finds:

  • Among 372 likely Republican primary voters asked to choose among five candidates, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (29% to 21%) in a national primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 18%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 12%, and former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 4%.
  • 27% of likely Republican primary voters would "definitely" vote for Giuliani if he is the Republican Party's nominee for president in 2008; 36% would "consider" voting for him, 11% "definitely would not" vote for him.

 

Comments
Rich B.:

27% . . would "definitely" vote for Giuliani . . .; 36% would "consider" voting for him, 11% "definitely would not" vote for him.

And 26% don't know whether or not they would consider voting for him or not? In this case, isn't "Don't Know" functionally identical to the second option?

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David T:

RIch B.: See http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/CBSNews_poll_reps_101807.pdf 26% replied "Too early to say"

That sounds like the functional equivalent of "don't know" but it's a particular *kind* of don't know: it implies that later developments (e.g., who the Demcotrats nominate...) could help the voter make up his or her mind.

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David T:

One further thought: 29% of Republican primary voters would support Giuliani in a primary but only "27% of likely Republican primary voters would 'definitely' vote for Giuliani if he is the Republican Party's nominee for president"? That makes it sound like virtually *all* supporters of a GOP candidate other than Giuliani--and even a few GOP primary Giuliani voters!--have some doubts as to whether they will vote for Giuliani in the general election.

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Paul:

One can reasonably predict that any national lead Giuliani has will quickly shrink if Romney wins Iowa, as expected. Then if Romney wins or ties Giuliani in New Hampshire, this race become two way with McCain and Thompson dropping into single digits with essentially no chance. Agree or disagree?

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mcthorogood:

To determine the direction of U.S. foreign policy should Rudy Giuliani be elected, one needs to consider the advisors for his foreign policy team. To see a video that outlines the philosophy of the folks advising this candidate, click here.

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