Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: Daily Tracking (through 4/28)


Gallup Poll

National
Clinton 47, Obama 46
McCain 46, Obama 44... Clinton 47, McCain 45

Rasmussen Reports

National
Obama 49, Clinton 41
Obama 46, McCain 44... Clinton 46, McCain 45

Favorable / Unfavorable
McCain: 49 / 47
Clinton: 45 / 54
Obama: 52 / 45

 

Comments
Joseph E:

Gallup's numbers continue to be up and down. Compare them to Rasmussen Report over the last month. Now, Rasmussen does smooth things out by using a 4-day average, rather than a 3-day average, but they seem to have been more consistent over time.

The fact that the two tracking polls have diverged in opposite directions every couple of weeks suggests that most of the movement we are seeing is just noise.

Has someone made a graph showing the average of the two polls, perhaps extrapolating from the underlying daily numbers? That would be more interesting... and might remind us how much daily noise there is behind the artificially smooth trend lines.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR