7/14-16/08; 600 LV, 4
McCain 51, Obama 41
Sen: Begich (D) 47, Stevens (R-i) 45
AK-AL: Berkowitz (D) 51, Young (R-i) 40
Good to see Stevens and Young struggling. Their other challenge is to keep from getting indicted before the election.
Posted on July 18, 2008 4:34 PM
This R2000 poll is good news for McCain as the +10 is better than the last four polls. Alaska is seen as likely GOP on everyone's electoral map.
On the Senate side, the poll showing the Democrat ahead is consistent with the 538 projection that this race tilts DEM. This is one of five Senate races identified where a DEM could win a GOP seat, although this contest is by far the most difficult for a DEM to break through.
Posted on July 18, 2008 8:14 PM
I was hoping Obama would be close, but otherwise this is good news. Perhaps Obama will still travel to the state and help the downticket races.
Posted on July 18, 2008 8:27 PM
I do not think Obama would help the downticket races in a state that is very very Republican. These Democrats would not have a chance if the GOP incumbents were not so corrupt.
Posted on July 19, 2008 1:04 PM
"I do not think Obama would help the downticket races in a state that is very very Republican."
I don't think they are Republican as much as Libertarian. And since they normally don't get any on the ground campaigning from national figures, this could help invigorate Democrats in the state, and maybe turn a few independents.
It would be nice to sweep the Pacific states.
Posted on July 19, 2008 11:06 PM
Not so much Libertarian when one considers that Alaskans get state government pay outs from oil revenues. Obama's anti-drilling stance is also not popular. GOP Governor Palin is extraordinarily well-liked. Alaskans vote overwhelmingly for Republicans (although most are registered nonpartisan/undeclared). The non-support of Stevens and Young has everything to do with their greed.
Posted on July 20, 2008 11:58 AM
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