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POLL: Datamar Florida Primary


A new Datamar automated survey of likely primary voters in Florida (conducted 1/5 through 1/7) finds:

  • Among 541 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (40% to 28%) in a statewide primary; former Sen. JOhn Edwards trails at 19%.
  • Among 481 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 24%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 16%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 9%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.2% for likely Democratic primary voters and 4.5% for likely Republican primary voters.

 

Comments
awrbb:

Projected Delegate Count:

Clinton: 0
Obama: 0
Edwards: 0

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Eric:

Wow, Rudy! is in big big trouble...

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Paul:

Following what awrbb posted, what exactly will happens after the Michigan and Democratic primaries on the Democratic side. My understanding was that some or all of the Democratic candidates will not campaign in either state. If zero delegates will be seated at the convention, is it even appropriate to poll these states?

Having said the above, if the media do cover this "race", what possible scenario exists where Obama wins where 60% of the electorate is female and 32% are over the age of 65?

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Andrew:

Please give us some background on Datamar. Has it been historically close to actual election results? Within the margin of error estimated? Or way off?

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