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POLL: FOX National (4/28-29)


FOX News/Opinion Dynamics
(story, results)

National
900 RV, 400 Dem, 4/28-29
Clinton 44, Obama 41
McCain 46, Obama 43... Clinton 45, McCain 44

 

Comments
Tybo:

Not good news for Obama , He's down more than 12 pts in 9 days.

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jsh1120:

Tybo: Not sure what you're comparing, but comparisons of different polling organizations is no way to derive a reliable estimate of opinion change.

More generally, this and other polls suggest to me, at least, that Clinton is clearly benefitting from increased concern about the economy. Unfortunately, the poll's (and the media's) monomaniacal focus on the Reverend Wright issue makes it difficult to confirm that impression.

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Patrick:

There is clearly a steady 'migration' away from Obama and toward Clinton. It's evident in several national polls. Whether it sticks or Obama rebounds remains to be seen. Next Tuesday's results will either boost him or hurt him further. If he wins both states, he's got a big boost (and likely the nomination). If he loses IN but wins NC, it'll depend on how big the win/loss margins are. If Clinton wins IN big and comes close in NC, the media will really question his electability and you'll see her start to pull away in the national polls (esp. since the week of 5/13 belongs only to WV and she'll have a huge win there). The ironic thing is that even though Obama is clearly in trouble at the moment (especially if you look at the detailed results of the new Fox poll), some superdelegates are still coming out for Obama (instead of just waiting a few weeks). That means that either they had pledged their support to Obama long ago and the Obama campaign is announcing them one by one now to take the attention away from his other problems (which is likely), or that the Democratic Party leaders really are that out of touch with the voters that they decide to endorse a presidential candidate just as he seems to possibly be imploding and is showing that he has the exact same demographic problems as 2 recent Democrats who lost the general election (i.e. Kerry and Dukakis). No wonder there's been exactly ONE 2-term Democrat in the White House since FDR (Clinton).

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