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POLL: Gallup Daily Tracking


Gallup Poll

National
Obama 48, Clinton 43... McCain 63, Huckabee 22, Paul 4

Also:
Few Democrats Say "Experience" Is Critical to Their Vote
Democrats, Republicans: Obama Likely to Win Nomination
Tracking Consumer Confidence

 

Comments
john:

how many will feel stupid when you realize the Republicans have set Obama up for the kill, lol

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john:

how many will feel stupid when you realize the Republicans have set Obama up for the kill, lol

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fred:

How many Republicans will feel stupid when Obama spanks McCain in November??

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mike:

m guess is quite a few. republicans seem to think that Obama will be the easier candidate but he has shown that he is able to reach across partylines and engage more than just democrats. While McCain is also noted for doing this, he is facing an uphill battle within his own party.

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Patrick:

Obama is completely unknown and untested. As soon as he gets the nominations, the Republicans will eat him alive. Hillary has been wrung out for 16 years. It's so unfortunate that the Dems "fell in love" with someone with so little experience who the media has given a "free ride" to. McCain will beat Obama handily (with FL, OH, PA, and all the "Red" states Reps always get) in the general. Just watch.

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John London:

I pity your poor country if McCain gets elected President.You will be stuck in Iraq for years,making America bankrupt,morally and finacially, in the process.

Hopefully you will be brave and take a chance will Obama,rather than certain misery with McCain.

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C.S.Strowbridge:

"Obama is completely unknown and untested. As soon as he gets the nominations, the Republicans will eat him alive."

I think they will try, but I think they will resort to completely racist attacks, which will backfire.

For every hardcore Republican that thinks called Obama by his middle name is an effective attack, there are 10 independents who will see through it and be turned off by it.

There will be a Macaca Moment every week, every day when Obama sees his numbers on the rise. This won't help the Republicans win.

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Otto:

Why McCain cannot win?
Reason:
WAR, WAR, WAR, WAR
and Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb I-Ran
(Bar, Bar, Bar Bar Bar Bar-Ann)
He is the face of War and he has a big W on his forehead.

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Otto:

Why McCain cannot win?
Reason:
WAR, WAR, WAR, WAR
and Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb I-Ran
(Bar, Bar, Bar Bar Bar Bar-Ann)
He is the face of War and he has a big W on his forehead.

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tony:

Patrick: I agree.
And the anti-McCain people: I would never vote for a Republican, but please stop with all the hyperbole. Just ridiculous.

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Snip:

he has shown that he is able to reach across partylines and engage more than just democrats.

Or Republicans are crossing over to vote for him in the primaries to set him up.

Look at the current red state numbers, ones where Obama won such large margins. Where are those voters now?

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Pete:

When will people start feeling stupid for using the term "lol"?

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Pete:

When will people start feeling stupid for using the term "lol"?

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Patrick:

Snip is correct. The vast majority of the "cross-over" voters who voted for Obama in the primaries/caucuses will surely not vote for him in the general election.

Like most states, Hillary actually has more support among registered Democrats in OH and TX (and PA). That's why she's won almost all the states in which only Democrats can vote in the Dem primary. It's the Republicans and Independents who keep putting Obama over the top in the "open" states where Reps and Indeps can vote in the Dem primary/caucus. Of all those voters, virtually 100% of Republicans and at least 50% of the Independents will vote for McCain, not Obama, in the general election. Add to that any and all racist voters (who unfortunately do still exist in large #'s all over the country), older voters (who always turn out in extremely high #'s and have never gone for Obama, and all the Democrates who honestly don't feel Obama is experienced enough to be President (like me), and it's a recipe for an easy McCain victory. I personally know at least 5 people who have voted Democratic their entire lives (for me since 1976), but will vote for McCain over Obama because McCain is a true moderate, he doesn't scare us (like other Reps), esp. since we know Congress will be in the hands of the Dems, and we just don't think Obama (with a total of 2 years of federal gov't experience) is remotely ready to be the leader of the free world. And that's before he's gotten any negative press (which will start to pour out the minute he gets the nomiation). So sad, too, because after Bush, it really was the Democrats election to lose.

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mary:

approximately 60% of the us population do not vote due to disillusion with the system
all Obama needs is 10% of them and the republicans are gone for good...!

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mary:

approximately 60% of the us population do not vote due to disillusion with the system
all Obama needs is 10% of them and the republicans are gone for good...!

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Pat:

If republicans think Obama is easier to beat than Clinton, they are fools. Clintons made the same mistake and underestimated Obama. People always vote for the future, not the past. No one represents the past more than grumpy old man who wants to bomb bomb bomb.

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michae:

Odds probably favour Obama winning in November, but I wouldn't write off McCain.

For one thing, the war is a lousy issue for Obama. Once you run on withdrawal, the question becomes - what will happen when America leaves Iraq (as opposed to "was the war in Iraq a good idea" - separate issue). Will there be a civil war? Will there be ethnic violence, especially against the kurds? Will Iran move into the power ensuing vacuum (particularly in the oil-rich Shiite south)?

Just because it was a dumb and [now] unpopular decision to invade, doesn't mean that a withdrawal is the logical next step.

Obama would be wise to campaign on the economy - an area of stated weakness for John McCain. Sure McCain is a pork-barrel fighter but in terms of a real plan for the economy, McCain doesn't have one.

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Steve:

Patrick, will you come back and admit you were totally wrong after Obama annihilates McCain? Which is what is going to happen unless something truly scandalous comes out, like say Whitewater, Travelgate, Peter Paul, etc.

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rowjimmy:

I am not predicting a win for McCain, like Patrick, but I am surely hopeful for an Obama loss. I am among the group of moderate Democrats he lists that does not think Obama is yet ready to be commander in chief. With congress surely in the hands of the Democrats, I can easily vote for McCain over Obama now that Hillary is toast.

I think he's right about the seniors (who've never been with Obama) being a core loss for Obama once Hillary is out.

But I wouldn't make any other predictions, other than most predictions will be wrong.

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Federer:

I'll make a prediction for ya rowjimmy:


All hail President Obama.

It doesn't matter if some of you Hillary contributors want to vote for a war-monger. It just means you weren't Democrats in the first place.


The more Obama campaigns, the more people switch to him.....for good. Do you actually think that McCain can out-campaign Obama til November? I think not. He is getting so old and tired that he can't hop from stop to stop like he once did.

This is very important to remember: Obama didn't SWITCH a significant number of Hillary supporters. What he did was increase the sample size of potential voters. Typically, in every election, less than 50% of the electorate votes. Obama has managed to mobilize the non-voters. This is only going to increase in time. So not only do you have most all Democrats supporting him, but you will have many independents and republicans supporting him as well. Watch out, I see a landslide coming this November. You heard it here first folks.


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