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POLL: Gallup Daily Tracking


Gallup Poll

National
Obama 46, Clinton 45... McCain 54, Huckabee 26, Paul 6

Also:
Obama Gaining Among Middle-Aged, Women, Hispanics
Consumer Confidence

 

Comments
Joshua:

Is the Gallup National Poll really useful right now? Is any national poll really useful right now?

They might just contribute puffed-up bragging rights for whoever's ahead, and they might even contribute something harmful. That being voter confusion and a false sense that someone is winning races based upon a lead in a contest that is not being played.

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Ferd:

Completely agree Josh. National is irrelevant right now.

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Bree:

Hawaii is a done deal today:

http://www.touchtonepoll.com/

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Pete:

Not that the surface numbers are that important, but the post has it as a 1-pt race but the actual poll has Obama up 7?

Anyone think the gender/age/race/etc breakdowns are telling in a national poll like this? Or is it totally meaningless because of the state-by-state nature of all this?

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RS:

I think the Gallup poll is a broad indicator of the electorate's mood. Senator Clinton's negative attacks appear to be working, considering Obama was +7 in the previous 3-day period, but Monday's data pulled that down to just +1 (Obama 46-45) for Feb 16-18.

I wonder how the plagiarism charge is playing out in Wisconsin - ARG is the only WI poll for Feb 18, and that isn't the most reliable...

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Bob Evans:

I live in Kenosha. None of the major news reported it at all - we are a lot smarter and suave than the Hillary campaign thinks.

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Moishele:

The national polls simply show a bad trend for Obama. He goes up after wins and then settles back down to even or only slightly ahead of Clinton. Once the luster wears off the voters look elsewhere.

Obama would do well to remember the large numbers of undecided voters and how fluid they are. That fluidity can bring him votes, and it can also take them away.

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