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POLL: Gallup National Primary


A new USA Today/Gallup national survey of adults (conducted 11/11 through 11/14) finds:

  • Among 485 Democrats and those who lean Democratic, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (48% to 21%) in a national primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 12%. When former V.P. Al Gore is included, Clinton runs at 42%, Gore at 17%, Obama at 16%, Edwards at 9%.
  • Among 398 Republicans and those who lean Republican, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (28% to 19%) in a national primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 13%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 12%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 10%, Rep. Ron Paul at 5%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

 

Comments
Andrew:

Whatever.

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Paul:

Given the momentum gathered from early primary and caucus states, I am not sure what value a national primary poll has? Arguably, a Democratic upset in Iowa could have an effect. On the Republican side, a significant Romney win in Iowa, if it pulls him through New Hampshire, I would think could double his national numbers. At the same time, Thompson and McCain would disappear. If Huckabee has any chance, it would seem he would need at least a strong second in Iowa and new Hampshire.

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