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POLL: Gallup Open Ended National (8/7-10)


Gallup Poll
8/7-10/08; 903 RV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews*

National
Obama 45, McCain 38, Barr 1, Nader 1, Clinton 1

* "The question, part of an Aug. 7-10 Gallup Poll, allowed respondents to name any candidate or political party, without prompting of specific names from Gallup interviewers. This is a different approach than Gallup takes in its Daily tracking polling and USA Today/Gallup polls, in which voters are asked whether they would vote for Barack Obama or John McCain for president if the election were held today."

 

Comments
player:

This just goes to show how the mega media coverage of Barack Obama has his name come out first when asked. This is what commercial ads try to do when they sell products. They show the same ad over and over enough until the buyer thinks of it first when wanting that type of product. However, most buyers usually compare when it actually comes down to buying something.

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Louis:

Intresting. As expected this creates a slightly higher undecided. It may also indicate intensity of support, but that has to be established.The numbers are close to the same for Obama but lower for McCain.
But really not that much difference between 47-42 and 45-38.

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Tzal:

What is Gallup trying to show? This poll does not simulate what will actually happen in the booth. Can we conclude anything based on the result of a poll using a fairly unusual method of questioning?

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zotz:

Another issue is that this poll is RV not LV. In October the RV polls will be more significant. Also 903 people doesn't seem enough for a national poll. So I'm not convinced that this is the correct methodology.

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1magine:

903 is small sample, comparably and 4% MOE is a little high. That said, I think it does evidence strength of support and that there is currently an anti-Obama vote, weak as it may be. These are voters who can be turned and increase the margin. It also says that allot of voters who suppossedly "know" JM don't want him, and given a choice, will choose other or 'none of the above'.

So far, race seems to be at the same place it was when HRC conceded. Given all that has happened and the attempts to 'define' BO the way JM wants him defined.

As mentioned by another poster in the Alaska poll. Allot of Americans did not like the negative ads, especially during the Olympic swimming competition. For many, many Dems it absolutely steeled their resolve to back BO, for many others, it was a most unwelcome intrusion into a proud American Family moment.

We have always been told that negative ads work, no matter how many people hate them - they resonate. I wonder if that convention gets thrown out to the curb this election as well.

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Stillow:

You're buried in the sand if you think Obama doesn't have negative ads out there....I live in Nevada and every night back to back I see negative ads on both sides....you holier than thou leftists out there are incredible!!!

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jsh1120:

What it supports is the conclusion from a variety of sources that McCain's support is softer than Obama's.

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Undecided:

It is as 'player' said. Product profile. That is the way our brain works. Based on cognitive research we "automatically" associate words and cocepts based on "priming" and in this case it is news coverage doing the priming.

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Tom:

Interesting poll. The question is a unique way of trying to remove the order bias that can creep into the polls. I suspect that if the person remebers the candidate's name well enough to repeat it when prompted, then there is a good chance they would vote for them.

It appears that Obama's routes to victory are as follows; First make sure you hold all the Kerry states, especially MI and PA, then the paths to victory open up. He could go eiter route 1 for the new swing states (IA, CO, NM, NV, VA) or route 2 for the traditional swing states (either FL or OH). As a back-up plan he appears to be going for some longer shots (AK, GA, IN, MO, MT, NC, ND) which would give him insurance incase something goes wrong on route 1 (he wouldn't need insurance on route 2).

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TheVoice_99:

oh stillow.....still with the mccain camp talking points, eh?

Let me ask you a serious question.....why should we believe one word that comes out of your mouth?

Didn't you say earlier that you believe in creationism....that humans rode around on dinosaurs like the Flintstones? I mean, that really does damage your credibility.

In a similar vein, why should ANYONE believe anything a republican says? The whole world hates us because of bush and his thugs. Why do you think Obama is so loved around the world????

Let's see, vote for a guy who the whole world wants and would love to work with, or vote for a guy who represents the third term of the most hated US president EVER......hmmm, tough choice there.

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Clint Cooper:

Someone needs to call the Republicans on this site a very large WAAAAAAAHMBULANCE.

Oh boo hoo, Obama pointed out in his Nevada ad that McCain supports the Yucca Mountain project. THAT'S a negative ad? Give me a break.

I'd like to see the DNC come up with an ad that juxtaposes McCain with 80-somethings who are suffering from dementia - now THAT would be a negative ad.

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thoughtful:

@ pollsters - I think that one of the meaningful conclusions of this poll is that there is not great enthusiasm for McCain out there! He was or is the better nationally known candidate?

@ Stillow, I understand that John mcCain is against shipping nuke waste through Arizona but wants to through Nevada. Indeed wants to bury it there. Is that a significant election defining issue or an attack or both?

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cinnamonape:

In addition, by asking without a prompt it indicates one other factor. Obama is now "name familiar" to many people. That's interesting.

And the fact that he has such positive image within this survey indicates that all the mud flung at him hasn't stuck very well.

I assume that this was a human moderated survey...so perhaps the respondants might respond differently than an automated-poll?

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