Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: Harris/Harvard 18-24 National Survey


A new Harvard Institute of Politics online survey (release, analysis, results) of 2,923 adults ages 18-24 (conducted 3/8 through 3/26 by Harris Interactive) finds:

  • 31% approve of the job Bush is doing as president; 69% disapprove
  • Among 1,380 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Barack Obama leads Sen. Hillary Clinton (35% to 29%) in a national primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 9%.
  • Among 839 likely Republican primary voters, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads Sen. John McCain (31% to 18%) in a national primary; former Gov. Mitt Romney trails with 8%.

 

Comments
Tim:

Is that a typo, or is this the first national poll in which Obama leads?

____________________

Eric:

Nope, this was not a typo, but again keep in mind this was an online survey of 18 to 24 year olds, not a survey of all Democrats.

____________________

Nobody in particular:

Also yesterday, NYTimes says "Seems younger people are more supportive of the war and the president than any other age group."

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/17/us/politics/18web-elder.html

"Forty percent of 18-29 year olds said Mr. Bush was doing a good job..." followed closely by a paragraph seemingly placed to mislead the reader into a false sense of confidence of the subsample result saying the poll overall (but not the subsample) had error of plus or minus three percentage points.

NYTimes: landline survey, 18-29
Harvard: online survey, 18-24

Harvard also found only 48% of 18-24 agegroup has a landline...thought Mystery Pollster might find the contrast interesting.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR