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POLL: Howey-Gauge Indiana (4/23-24)


Howey Politics/Gauge Market Research

Indiana
n=600 likely voters, 4/23-24
Clinton 46, Obama 46

(Thanks to reader DW)

 

Comments
axt113:

Oy another poll another result totally different from the another recent poll

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Shadar:

Looks like we're going to have to dig through the numbers of all these polls and figure out where the discrepancy is. I'm willing to bet it's with the percentages of each age group.

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Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

When will they poll 1000+ LV?

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Joseph E:

Does anyone know this pollster? It is not on Poblano's list (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/pollster%20ratings) or on SurveyUSA's tables (http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/surveyusa-report-cards/)

I'm inclined to believe that Clinton is heading toward a solid win in Indiana, looking at the other recent polls, though it may be closer than Penn in the end, if SUSA is right.

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IdahoMulato:

Checked their website and found that Obama has a statistically insignificant 47-45 percent lead over Clinton. However, among likely Democratic voters, Clinton and Obama are tied 46-46%. And as indicated by Gauge Market Research Pollster Holly Davis, the race could be determined by Republican or independent crossover voters.
I believe, SUSA has been overpolling Clinton of late and can now be considered outlier after the 2nd supertuesday.

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IdahoMulato:

Checked their website and found that Obama has a statistically insignificant 47-45 percent lead over Clinton. However, among likely Democratic voters, Clinton and Obama are tied 46-46%. And as indicated by Gauge Market Research Pollster Holly Davis, the race could be determined by Republican or independent crossover voters.
I believe, SUSA has been overpolling Clinton of late and can now be considered outlier after the 2nd supertuesday.

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