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POLL: InsiderAdvantage Iowa Caucus


A new InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion statewide survey of likely caucus goers in Iowa (conducted 1/1 for Republicans and 1/2 for Democratics) finds:

  • Among 415 likely Democratic caucus goers asked to choose between only three candidates, Sen. Barack Obama receives 34%, former Sen. John Edwards 33%, and Sen. Hillary Clinton 32% in a statewide caucus. The results are reallocated second choices of both undecideds and those who first chose a candidate other than Clinton, Edwards, or Obama.
    Three days ago, InsiderAdvantage released a reallocated vote showing Edwards at 41%, Clinton at 34%, and Obama at 25%
  • Among 430 likely Republican caucus goers, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 30%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 24% in a statewide caucus; Former Sen. Fred Thompson and Sen. John McCain trail at 11%, Rep. Ron Paul at 7%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 5%.
  • All other Republican candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 5% for both subgroups.

Note, today's release did not include a first-choice vote result for either Democrats or Republicans. In addition, ihe InsiderAdvantage article does not indicate whether the survey was conducted using live interviewers or an automated method. Previous InsiderAdvantage surveys used an automated (IVR) methodology.

 

Comments
Tom Lummus:

Speaking for alot of Southern small city people, Edwards is the pick with Hillary not a close 2nd, and Obama behind her. If Obama gets the ticket, alot including myself will go republican and Hillary is almost the same. If the Democratic party wants to win the Whithouse, Edwards is the one or there will be another Republican President. To many down here are against the illegal immigrants getting any and about everything they want including free everything and the ones that have worked all their lives are comming up with less, the ignorant gun control and believe the control should be put on the criminals. We are not against the war so much, but the lies that were told to us to get into that mess. We believe in what the Bible says and that is it. The Bible says it and we believe it, and that goes for all the gay rights and bull. If you don't like our ways, then go back the same way you came and if can not afford it, we will gladly help you out. So just shut up, get right with the Lord, speak english and do like all the others including my ancestors did when they came.

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