November 29, 2007
POLL: InsiderAdvantage Post Debate Surveys
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion released two new statewide surveys (conducted 11/28) of 1,035 registered Republicans in Iowa and 341 undecided Republicans in Florida who said they watched tonight's debate and were willing to call in after the debate to answer questions.
- Among Republicans in Iowa, 32% believe former Gov. Mike Huckabee won tonight's Republican debate; former Gov. Mitt Romney gets 16%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12%, Sen. John McCain 10%, former Sen. Fred Thompson 7%, Rep. Ron Paul 6%.
- Among Republicans in Florida, 44% believe Huckabee won the debate; Giuliani gets 18%, Romney 13%, McCain 10%, Thompson 5%.
- All other candidates receive less than five percent each.
More on InsiderAdvantage's methodology for their Florida survey can be found here.
-- Eric Dienstfrey
November 29, 2007 in Poll Update
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of course, this poll is meaningless becuase Rudy will be bowing out of the race before the end of the week. Once word of the way he bilked the state treasury to pay for cheating on his wife hits the front pages of the nation's newspapers, his campaign is as dead as Fred's.
Posted on November 29, 2007 4:58 AM
KenG:
The voters main worry with Rudy during this primary season is that they can't be sure he won't re-marry before next summer's Republican Convention.
Posted on November 29, 2007 6:44 AM
dep:
With Rudy, it's hard to keep up with the details of his shaggin' and marryin'. Let's stick to the real issues. Just refer to his "current wife" and you won't have to wade into the nasty details.
Posted on November 29, 2007 10:26 AM
Gary Kilbride:
Reliable math to handicap the comments on this blog. If it says 9 comments, I know that means 4 unique entries at most, since some will be x2, x3 or even the impressive x4.
I wish my lifespan worked that way.
Posted on November 29, 2007 11:40 AM
"of course, this poll is meaningless becuase Rudy will be bowing out of the race before the end of the week. Once word of the way he bilked the state treasury to pay for cheating on his wife hits the front pages of the nation's newspapers, his campaign is as dead as Fred's."
I'm not sure this is true. He was married to a second cousin. He lived with two gay men. He's divorced twice.
How could another sex scandal disrupt his campaign?
Wait, wait? He wasted taxpayer money?
... He's a dead man.
(On a serious note, I doubt he will drop-out. He probably still thinks he's the front-runner, even with the scandal blowing up in his face.)
Posted on November 29, 2007 11:51 AM
Liz:
Huckabee is hope for the future.
We love Huckabee!!!
Posted on November 29, 2007 1:23 PM
Don Hannaford:
Go Huckabee!! Go Ron Paul!! The only 2 honest grass roots candidates in the debate!!!!
Posted on November 29, 2007 1:34 PM
George:
Paultard Spence? I'm assuming you are a Rudiot. What childishness. Let's talk about ideas, please.
Posted on November 29, 2007 3:23 PM
Don Hannaford:
Yes, you can vote for a man with a past full of racist accounts he's never disavowed or a former Arkansas governor who seemed to actually live out half the false rumors about financial ethics issues, trailer trash governance and more that the Right spread about the Clintons' time in Little Rock.
Nice choices between Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee, eh?
Posted on November 29, 2007 3:26 PM
Mitt :
This party is doomed if it fails to nominate the best qualified and most honorable candidate, who is clearly Senator John McCain. He is consistently conservative on social and economic issues. For those of you obsessed with immigration, he now acknowledges it was a mistake to push for "comprehensive reform," and argues that we should first secure the border. All of the candidates have flaws, so why not pick the one who is most likely to beat Hillary and make us proud to be Republicans.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/13/opinion/13brooks.html?_r=1&n=Top/Opinion/Editorials%20and%20Op-Ed/Op-Ed/Columnists/David%20Brooks&oref=slogin
Posted on November 29, 2007 4:06 PM
Matt:
Paul is like that other guy who ran a few years back with all the charts. I think he also was from Texas. Save your money and your vote.
McCain is a little crazy. He hates waterboarding but loves taking away habeas corpus. He doesn't think it is torture to put someone in jail forever without charges, a trial or hope of release. His one cry now is he supported the surge and it is working. It'll work as long as we have 180,000 troops in the area and arm the Sunnis. Time for him to take a walk on the streets of Baghdad outside the green zone. At least during the Vietnam war the troops could walk around Saigon.
Romney is strange - like Mukasey he can't tell us if waterboarding is torture but he's against torture. How can you be against something if you don't know what it is? He is too programmed like the Manchurian Candidate. Also, he's been on both sides of every major issue depending on the audience and the year.
Guiliani was all right as a prosecutor or a major who can dictate things without fear of liability. But his life is a series of bad errors - marrying his second cousin, (he said he didn't know she was his second cousin but was surprised that at the wedding their relatives all seemed related), using official resources to commit adultery while major, (what'll he do with real power?), pushing his corrupt buddy and the like. He's Bush double over.
Huckleberry - if I believed he was on the level I'd think of voting for him even (the only one on either side other than Obama) though I'm a little wary of the Americristians who want to bring America back to Christ. (As if he would want it.)
Thompson if he had any sense should stay home with his wife (as should Kucinich) - Tancredo and the other guy at the end - should stop the nonsense and go back to work.
Am I the only one that wonders how come all these public officials can spend so much time running for office and ignoring the jobs they were elected to perform. Isn't that some kind of larceny when they pick up their checks for performing their duties which they never did? Or are their jobs so undemanding that they don't have to be there? Romney as governor spent 220 days in his last year of office out of Massachusetts campaigning. I suggest there should be a law that says when you hold one elected position you can't run for another position until you vacate the position you are holding. I'm sure Tancredo and the other guy, Kucinich, McCain, Clinton, Dowd, Biden, Paul, would not be running for president if they had to give up their Congressional seats.
Posted on November 29, 2007 6:28 PM
Everyone should read about the FairTax that Huckabee advocates.
The concept is well thought-out. Most of those that have problems with it have not studied it in detail.
It should be a bi-partisan issue that both parties can support.
A huge benefit of having it become law would be the effect it would have on politicians' class warfare grievances. No more "income brackets" and "tax breaks" for special interests.
It would clean up some of the mess our system has become.
Nothing is perfect, but it sure beats having the government telling you what "income" is, and jumping through hoops to give them all your personal information every year.
Posted on November 29, 2007 7:31 PM
W Action:
Polls show Paul barely registers in approval for debate performance, early poster reflexively uses thread to request donation to Paul. Bad timing, pal.
Posted on November 29, 2007 7:37 PM
G Wally:
Paul hardly got much air time. He is the only sane choice among the remaining lobby panderers. As people become more educated about the issues facing this country you can't help but realize that Paul speaks the truth and sticks to facts. Can you imagine CNN allowing that stupid question on why Rudy was rooting for the Redsox ? Like that's really relevant for what faces the nation in the years to come. Give me a break!
Posted on November 29, 2007 9:58 PM
Everyone should read about the FairTax that Huckabee advocates.
The concept is well thought-out. Most of those that have problems with it have not studied it in detail.
It should be a bi-partisan issue that both parties can support.
A huge benefit of having it become law would be the effect it would have on politicians' class warfare grievances. No more "income brackets" and "tax breaks" for special interests.
It would clean up some of the mess our system has become.
Nothing is perfect, but it sure beats having the government telling you what "income" is, and jumping through hoops to give them all your personal information every year.
Posted on November 29, 2007 10:29 PM
Chilli:
Many of these national polls are meaningless in a political environment where ideologies have become blurred. This is because they only poll "existing registered (fill-in-the-party-name) voters who voted in the last election cycle." Several independent polls that sample outside of that criterion have shown that a significant portion of Ron Paul's support comes from outside of the established GOP ranks, from disenfranchised Republican voters who have not been voting, libertarians, and market-liberal democrats. None of these people are being polled, and yet all are likely to qualify to vote in the primaries if they wish to do so.
Posted on November 30, 2007 4:05 AM
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Gary Danelishen:
Please consider contributing on the 16th of December.
Ron Paul needs the publicity of another big fund raising day.
I’m a veteran of the U.S. Air Force active duty (4yrs) and I currently serve as a traditional guardsman in the Air National Guard. All military personnel upon enlistment take the oath: “I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic…” A vote for Rep. Paul does just that. Ron Paul has my support.
There is an obvious media bias and it is sad. Rep. Paul is the one candidate of the crowd who has substantially differing views and he was not given much of a chance to articulate those views. Much time was given to marginal issues and small differences between other candidates’ positions on the issues. I suspect many special interest groups have much to lose if a President Paul had a chance to use his veto pen. This is reflected in the lack of time given to Rep. Paul.
Posted on November 29, 2007 4:46 AM