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POLL: IVR Polls Texas GOP Primary


A new IVR Polls automated survey of 570 likely Republican primary voters in Texas (conducted 8/31) finds former Sen. Fred Thompson leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (25% to 21%) in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mitt Romney trails at 15%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 13%, Sen. John McCain at 8%, Rep. Ron Paul at 5%.

Note: IVR Polls "named all candidates, but only gave choices for the top 6, plus options for 'Other' and 'Undecided.'"

 

Comments
Paul:

Texas primary is currently scheduled for March 4. If race is still on at that point, then we could see Giuliani, Thompson and Romney fighting for 1st. McCain looks out. Odds of Huckabee making it to March appear long unless he scores huge in Iowa, and even then his numbers in New Hampshire are currently low single digit, and he is running 5th in SC and NV. One would think Texas would be way too conservative for Giuliani, so even though Texas is not scheduled until March, the primary could end up being important.

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Andrew:

I think the methodology in this poll is flawed, because it excludes young voters.
Only those who have voted in previous GOP primaries were eligible to participate in this poll. If my calculations aren't wrong, 18, 19, and 20 year old voters would not have been able to participate in the 2004 GOP primary. This might unfairly affect Giuliani, because, and I'm just relying on a hunch, Giuliani may have greater support among the youth than the rest of candidates.

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Old Lon:

Good point, but I believe it is Ron Paul that is invigorating the younger activists, and who will benefit. To be respectful, we believe all other candidates are less than knowledgeable about if not blatantly hostile to the Constitution and Bill of Rights, history and economics. Unless we are reading this wrong, young voters are tired of being told they will inherit an inescapable multi-trillion dollar obligation to care for the retiring baby boomer generation. And of being told what to think, drink or smoke, for that matter. This tendency to favor liberty over dogma meets the overweening neoauthoritarianism of the mainstream GOP head-on. And crunch time is about to arrive.

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Ryan:

I have to agree that the younger generation, if voting republican, is behind Ron Paul, at least 8-2. The only problem is too many dont keep up with what is going on, and they see Bush, think Republican, and therefore want to vote Democrat. We need to inform these kids on how they can make a much better decision.

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