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POLL: Marist New Hampshire Primary


A new Marist College statewide survey of 1,453 registered voters in New Hampshire (conducted 11/2 through 11/6) finds:

  • Among 458 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (36% to 25%) in a statewide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 14%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 6%. When undecideds were asked to which candidate they lean, Clinton receives 38%, Obama 26%, Edwards 14%, and Richardson 6%.
  • Among 372 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mitt Romney leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (33% to 22%) in a statewide primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 13%, Rep. Ron Paul and former Gov. Mike Huckabee both at 7%, and former Sen. Fred Thompson at 5%. When undecideds were asked to which candidate they lean, Romney receives 34%, Giuliani 23%, McCain 14%, Paul 7%, Huckabee 7%, and Thompson 5%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

 

Comments
Paul:

Thompson is running here 6th and in last Rasmussen poll he is running 5th in Iowa. Can not figure his strategy? Looks like a footnote after New Hampshire?

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jsh1120:

I'm not sure there is a strategy. I have to think that the various GOP heavyweight strategists who signed on with Thompson must be drinking heavily. As far as I can tell, the Thompson strategy depended upon the fact that none of the other GOP candidates had excited the GOP electorate, leaving it up for grabs. But they seemed to have forgotten one of the first rules of politics: You can't beat somebody with nobody.

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Mike S.:

Wow, this confirms that Thompson's campaign is in serious trouble. Huckabee is the prime beneficiary of Thompson's stumbling. The southern social conservative vote seems to be split across Huckabee and Thompson. As a fan of socially liberal Republicans I would love to see both candidates remain in the race as long as possible to split the vote and see Paul or Giuliani win the primary.

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