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POLL: Pew/AP US, IA, NH, SC Republican Primaries


Additional results from the recent Pew Research Center/Associated Press Republican primary surveys of likely Republicans primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (conducted 11/7 through 11/25; released 12/4) and nationally (conducted 11/20 through 11/27; released 12/4) finds:

  • Among 448 Republicans nationwide, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads Sen. John McCain (26% to 17%) in a national primary; former Sen. Fred Thompson and former Gov. Mitt Romney both trail at 13%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 11%.
  • Among 264 Republicans in Iowa, Romney edges out Huckabee (25% to 24%) in a statewide caucus; Giuliani trails at 14%, Thompson at 12%, McCain and Rep. Ron Paul both at 5%.
  • Among 446 Republicans in New Hampshire, Romney leads Giuliani (37% to 19%); McCain trails at 15%, Paul at 9%, Huckabee at 7%.
  • Among 468 Republicans in South Carolina, Giuliani and Romney (both at 19%) narrowly lead Thompson (at 18%); McCain trails at 13%, Huckabee at 10%, Paul at 6%.

 

Comments
Logan:

As any statistician will tell you, in order to perform an accurate extrapolation of public sentiment, you need to have a sampling size of no less than 600 at the national level, and no less than 300 at the state level.

Out of these four polls, only the last two -- New Hampshire and South Carolina -- meet this criteria.

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chas:

Why do the media organizations try to ignore Ron Paul?

Wake Up people!

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