September 21, 2007
POLL: PPIC California Primary
A new Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey of 2,003 adults in California (conducted 9/4 through 9/11) finds:
- Among 455 registered Democrats and those who lean Democratic, Sen. Hillary Clinton leands Sen. Barack Obama (41% to 23%) in a statwide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 14%.
- Among 353 registered Republicans and those who lean Republican, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (at 22%) leads former Gov. Mitt Romney and former Sen. Fred Thompson (both at 16%) in a statewide primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 15%.
We will post full results as soon as they are available.
By Eric Dienstfrey on September 21, 2007 5:10 PM | Permalink
California should be one of many states on February 5 to put Clinton over the top. The story on the Republican side appears unclear. If Giuliani's lead in February 5 states continues to decrease, and Romney and/or Thompson continue to pick up steam, the Republican primary season may extend past February 5, which could make states where some candidates like Romney have not campaigned, very important. I can envision a scenario where Romney and Giuliani knock each other off, and Thompson emerges victorious. I still see McCain 4th unless he somehow emerges with a major showing in Iowa, where his last numbers (late August) in three polls were 5,6, and 8.
Posted on September 21, 2007 9:19 PM