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POLL: PPP (D) NC Primary


A new Public Policy Polling (D) automated survey of likely primary voters in North Carolina (conducted 9/5) finds:

  • Among 451 Democrats asked to choose between three candidates, Sen. Hillary Clinton edges out former Sen. John Edwards (30% to 28%) in a statewide primary; Sen. Barack Obama trails at 21%, "a different candidate" at 12%.
  • Among 645 Republicans asked to choose between four candidates, former Sen. Fred Thompson leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (24% to 16%) in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mitt Romney trails at 13%, Sen. John McCain at 7%, "a different candidates" at 7%.

 

Comments
Anonymous:

Hillary beats Edwards in his own home state? A sure sign of a weak candidate, a candidate with no base, is one who can't win at home. Hillary would win NY by twenty points. Obama would win easily in Illinois. Edwards would lose North Carolina. He doesn't have a base outside of Des Moines and Cedar Rapids.

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Paul:

North Carolina's primary is scheduled on February 5. Edwards may very well not make it that far. The only January primary state where he is in the running is Iowa. He is running far behind in NH, NV and SC. Michigan and Florida may also be scheduled in January, pending all of the political machinations, and regardless, he is not doing well there either. So my conclusion he needs to win Iowa by double digits, and hope (beyond hope I think) that momentum will propel him. Then the problem would be he needs a huge budget to compete in the multistate heavy duty media blitz in advance of February 5. Only then does North Carolina have any relevance.

As to the Republicans, Thompson was strong before he was seen as a serious candidate. Giuliani has lost ground and may end up fighting Romney for 2nd. McCain looks out of contention.

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Justin:

North Carolina's primary is not until May. It has been widely misreported as being on Feb 5. The bill to move the the primary to February went no where in our legislature.

I imagine a victory in Iowa would help Edwards carry North Carolina in the primary, if he gets that far. If he doesn't win Iowa, it won't matter.

Also, I think winning a Democratic primary in a particular state means little when thinking about how a candidate would fair in a general election in that state. The electorate is so much different.

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Tyler, Raleigh, NC:

Y'all need to realize that NC is made up of a wide range of supporters from many areas, the mountains, piedmont, triad, and beaches. Wherever the people polled here come from could be the reason for the poll numbers. This also contradicts a poll released on Raleigh's WRAL last week that had Edwards up 31%- 22% over Clinton. Those folks near major universities of the 16 member system strongly support Edwards... and the university system of colleges/universities here pulls ALOT of weight.

Edwards has a win here... Don't let this poll fool you. There isn't one place I go that people have a positive view of Clinton. Regardless of whatever y'all believe, yankees generally aren't that accepted down here, and that will be true on the night of the NC primary.

I'm not trying to stir stuff up or criticize the poll, but only give a geography of who supports who in NC. A southern Democrat is not even close to one from the North. As evidence from NC having popular Democratic governors since 1976... The reason NC never votes for a Republic president is that the party ALWAYS nominates someone VERY FAR to the left and that doesn't fly here.

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Paul:

As to Justin's comment on the date of the North Carolina primary, thanks for the update. The best site I had found for up to date primary dates is:
http://www.vote-smart.org/election_president_state_primary_dates.php
and that site had not updated North Carolina.

With a May date, one wonders what relevance it could have this year in terms of having any influence whatsoever on the party nominee.

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sandra garrett:

Could you please tell me the date of the NY presidential primary election?

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UR MOM:

U GUYS SUCK

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RON WEASLEY (FROM HARRY POTTER):

FAKE CHEEZE RULEZ!!! : pppp

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