Public Policy Polling (D)
Ohio 3/1 - 3/2
Clinton 51, Obama 42... McCain 50, Huckabee 33, Paul 10
Hillary is going to win HUGE in Ohio and RI, by a whisker in TX, and get throttled in VT. I'll take it! Go Hillary!
Posted on March 3, 2008 12:02 PM
Um, Clinton wins the Republican crossover vote in this poll. That alone signals to me that we should throw this one out of the mix. When has she even come CLOSE to winning Republican crossovers. And Obama wins the under-30 crowd by 3??? No way.
This one is, unfortunately, baloney. Crosstabs people!
Posted on March 3, 2008 12:30 PM
Mike: Maybe she started winning them since their noise machine overlords started telling them to crossover for her so we can fight amongst ourselves a bit longer...
...or maybe the MoE is crazy high on the very few repub crossovers they sampled.
Posted on March 3, 2008 1:45 PM
Also, it appears that the gender gap among men was significantly closed for Clinton, according to this poll if accurate. I am very skeptical of these numbers. In most states, Obama edges Clinton out among men by at least 5%.
PPP had Obama winning men right before the election in Wisconsin (the closest in time and demographics to Ohio I can think of) whereas this poll has them deadlocked.
Obama - 57%
Clinton - 36%
Obama - 47%
Clinton - 46%
Another intriguing difference between OH and WI is the question about who would be better on Morals and Family Values, whereas Obama was winning appx. 60% to 30% over Clinton in WI, he is losing by about as much in OH. Not sure how much these general questions depend on the overall appeal and favorability of a candidate, or if it represents a substantive shift.
Posted on March 3, 2008 1:48 PM
Yeah looking at the crosstabs, 10% republican out of 1112 dem primary voters is a sample of around 111, which would have about a 9% MoE.
Posted on March 3, 2008 1:53 PM
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