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POLL: PPP North Carolina


Public Policy Polling (D)
6/26-29/08; 1,048 LV, 3%

North Carolina
McCain 45, Obama 41, Barr 5
Sen: Dole (R-i) 51, Hagan (D) 37

Gov: Perdue (D) 42, McCrory (R) 41, Munger (L) 5

To see how these numbers compare with the current trends, view our North Carolina Presidential (here) , Senate (here), and Gubernatorial (here) charts.

 

Comments
Paul:

This poll is essentially right on the trend line at 4 points. The only Democrat to win NC in last 10 elections is Carter in 1976. NC would be be a major plus for Obama at 15 electoral votes as he would not have to win one of the battleground states --- it would negate a loss in Missouri (11) or in Colorado (9) and New Mexico (5) combined. A win in NC and VA (a state which has voted Republican the last 10 elections and where Obama is slightly ahead), would seem to seal the deal for Obama. However, Obama would seem to have an uphill battle in NC.

I have Obama at 306 and McCain at 232. This assumes following battleground break: Obama wins: CO, NM, IA, MI, OH, PA, and VA. I am giving McCain FL, and MO. and all the remaining typical red states. I am assuming Obama also wins every New England state, NY, CA, WA, OR, MN, WI, IL, MD, DE, and DC.

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