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POLL: Quinnipiac FL/OH/PA Surveys


Three new Quinnipiac University statewide surveys of registered voters in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania (conducted 11/26 through 12/3) finds:

  • Among 440 Republicans in Florida, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Gov. Mitt Romney (30% to 12%) in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mike Huckabee trails at 11%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 10%, Sen. John McCain at 9%.
  • Among 424 Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (53% to 17%); former Sen. John Edwards trails at 7%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

General Election Match-ups:

  • Florida (n=1,124)

    Clinton 48%, Giuliani 41%
    Giuliani 45%, Obama 37%
    Giuliani 43%, Edwards 39%

    Clinton 47%, McCain 40%
    Clinton 50%, ROmney 36%
    Clinton 50%, Huckabee 35%
  • Ohio (n=1,178)

    Clinton 45%, Giuliani 41%
    Obama 42%, Giuliani 38%
    Edwards 45%, Giuliani 38%

    Clinton 44%, McCain 42%
    Clinton 47%, Romney 37%
    Clinton 45%, Huckabee 38%
  • Pennsylvania (n=1,092)

    Clinton 44%, Giuliani 44%
    Obama 41%, Giuliani 41%
    Giuliani 44%, Edwards 40%

    Clinton 43%, McCain 43%
    Clinton 49%, Romney 37%
    Clinton 48%, Huckabee 37%

Complete results are here.

 

Comments
Paul:

Florida's primary (Jan 29) is important because it precedes the primary sweepstakes on Feb. 5. However, the delegate count is compromised due to scheduling. Ohio is scheduled for March and Pennsylvania for April. Unless the delegate count count goes down to the wire, which it seems is possible, the relevance of these two primaries would be limited to preparation for the general election.

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