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POLL: Quinnipiac New Jersey Primary, General Election


A new Quinnipiac University statewide survey of 1,230 registered voters in New Jersey (conducted 9/18 through 9/23) finds:

  • Among 406 Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (46% to 15%) in a statewide primary; former V.P. Al Gore trails at 11%, former Sen. John Edwards at 7%. All other candidates receive less than five percent each.
  • Among 408 Republicans, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (45% to 12%) in a statewide primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 8%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 6%. All other candidates receive less than five percent each.
  • General election match-ups:

    Giuliani 45%, Clinton 44%
    Giuliani 49%, Obama 40%
    Giuliani 50%, Edwards 39%

    Clinton 46%, McCain 41%
    Obama 44%, McCain 41%
    Edwards 44%, McCain 40%

    Clinton 48%, Thompson 36%
    Obama 49%, Thompson 34%
    Edwards 48%, Thompson 34%

    Clinton 52%, Romney 33%
    Obama 51%, Romney 31%
    Edwards 51%, Romney 30%

 

Comments
Rich B.:

Here is New Jersey, we always poll weird on national races.

Even very late polls showed Bush ahead of or in a statistical tie with both Gore and Kerry, but the actual election numbers were never even close.

I don't know what it is. Maybe a lot of our Democrats here like to lie to pollsters, or a lot of our Republicans have last second and repeated changes of heart.

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Paul:

As to the primary, Clinton's lead over Obama in Quinnipiac polling has increased from 14 to 31 since January. As a February 5 contest, these results seem to parallel many states holding their primaries the same day. On the Republican side, polling numbers have not changed much in recent months.

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