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POLL: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Dems


Quinnipiac University

Pennsylvania - 4/9 through 4/13
Clinton 50%, Obama 44% - unchanged from 4/3-4/6

From the release: "There was no noticeable difference in the matchup in polling April 12 – 13, following widespread media reports on Sen. Obama’s ‘bitter’ comments."

Update: More on results from Quinnipiac by race, education and gender here.

 

Comments

What a difference a week doesn't make. After the sound and fury Sen. Clinton tried to create in the past week over Sen. Obama's "bitter / cling" comments, it appears it all signifies nothing.

Elitists amongst us will recall the Shakespeare I allude to also said this is "a tale told by an idiot." Ooops. Was that not civil?

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mago:

Unfortunately, it has begun to feel as though this primary campaign will creep in the petty pace from day to day to the last syllable of recorded time.

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infogiant:

I'm not really sure what an elitist is. Is it:

1) Someone who's husband pulls in $50,000,000 for speaking at events that contradict your stated platform and then fun your campaign with that money?

2) Someone who marries Cindy McCain and her net worth of over $100 million?

3) Someone who is raised by a single mother and his grandparents on everything from food stamps to the GI bill?

You decide.

http://infogiant.wordpress.com/2008/04/11/clintons-conflicts-of-interest-money-continues-to-stack-up/

http://infogiant.wordpress.com/2008/04/03/comparison-hillary-vs-bush/

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Dan:

In the interest of transparency, it should be noted that this poll was conducted 4/9-4/13; in other words, that the first two and a half days of polling preceded the "bitter controversy". Strictly speaking, then, this isn't a "pure" poll of post-bitter sentiment.

I agree that this is a dumb non-controversy, but just wanted to make the point.

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Josh:

Dan,

Note that the press release says there's no noticeable difference between the early days of polling and the 12th and 13th. Of course, an effect may still be seen later as the media hype continues...

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Acedork87:

Dan, spot on about the poll, this one in no way is going to give us an accurate gauge of any possible fallout (although I don't believe the ARG's somewhat ridiculous 20 point spread is either).

Unfortunately, I have to disagree with the assessment of this as a non-controversy. Believe me I wish it were one--I've been a Clinton supporter this race, but that to me is far secondary to getting either of these democrats into office--and given that Obama is most likely going to be the nominee I am hoping very much that he learns to keep his mouth shut when he comes out of this, and not to set foot in San Francisco (or any other similarly liberally "stigmad" locale) until he has won the presidency.

An open note to those who think what Clinton's campaign is doing right now: You think any of this is bad or sleazy or blown out of proportion? McCain hasn't even opened the Karl Rove Handbook for Elections yet, and when he does, hell is going to rain down in every imaginable freakshow/idiotic/baseless form we can imagine. Remember the Bush people who derailed McCain's 2000 bid by throwing around accusations about his illegitimate black baby in the South Carolina Primary? They now work for McCain, and if they managed to turn Vietnam-War-Hero McCain's adopted bangladeshi child into "illegitimate black baby", does anything think they'll have any trouble finding a way to spin something that a lot of liberals and moderates are having trouble swallowing?

Believe me, I wish this were not the case, so Obama people don't strangle me (Can't we all just be democrats? We all have to vote for whoever wins anyway, especially now), just remember that this does need to be addressed as a serious issue and taken care of accordingly, because the last thing I want is for McCain's people (who as we speak are restudying the techniques of Sith-Lord Karl Rove) to somehow turn Obama into an "elitist" and subsequently steal the election.

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illinoisindie:

@Acedork87
(I'm a republican Obama supporter) I dont think the elitist talk has legs by the way and the polls are hinting at that. Its about time Obama proved that he could throw punches instead of just love pats while balancing his "new kind of politics" mantra. If anything the republican playbook will definitely include his pastors comments (who has been wise to cancel any public appearances till the second week of November). Also this rezco thingy hopefully it stays at face value. Otherwise hopefully Ill be saying hail to chief Obama.

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kingsbridge77:

Three hings:

1) The poll began just one day after the "bitter" story" broke, and ended 2 days after it broke.

The media pile-on that will surely continue throughout the week is not reflected in this poll. The two most widely-read columnists in the nation, for example (George Will and Cal Thomas), wrote anti-Obama pieces on the 14th (Thomas) and the 15th (Will).

2) One poll alone cannot be used as gauge. Different pollsters often differ in their findings. In short, do not rush to conclude that Obama was not hurt.

3) Obama might have been wounded among conservatives who used to like him and some independents. This can only be examined by waiting for a GE poll.

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Jeff:

Wow, huge sample (2,103 LVs), even by Quinnipiac standards.

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the_real_truth:

I believe this poll will accurately reflect the 4/22 primary results.

This is a best case scenario for Obama as the media continues to make a story out of rather factual comments & as Hillary continues to run ads regurgitating her flawed arguments once again.

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