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POLL: Rasmussen Biden, Clinton, Michigan, Arkansas


New Rasmussen Reports automated surveys find:

  • Among 1,200 likely voters nationwide, Sen. Joe Biden trails former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (50% to 34%) and runs even with former Sen. Fred Thompson (both at 39%) in nationwide general election match-ups (conducted 8/10 through 8/12).
  • Among 800 likely voters nationwide, Sen. Hillary Clinton trails Giuliani (47% to 40%) and edges out former Sen. Fred Thompson (46% to 43%) in nationwide general election match-ups (conducted 8/13 through 8/14).
  • Among 500 likely voters in Arkansas (conducted 8/14 through 8/15).

    Clinton 55%, Giuliani 37%
    Clinton 55%, Thompson 36%
    Clinton 56%, McCain 33%
    Clinton 60%, Romney 32%
  • Among 500 likely voters in Michigan (conducted 8/14 through 8/15)

    Clinton 49%, Giuliani 40%
    Clinton 50%, Thompson 37%
    Clinton 49%, McCain 36%
    Clinton 49%. Romney 39%

 

Comments
Andrew:

In these statewide polls, Hillary Clinton outperforms John Kerry, if we compare the Kerry-Bush vs. the Clinton-Giuliani matchups.

In Michigan, Kerry held on to a 3% lead over Bush in the '04 elections. In Arkansas, Bush won by 9% while Giuliani trails Clinton there by 18%.

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Jonesy:

The Arkansas number is impressive, but its also the state where she was the governors first lady for... two terms, I think. I dont think that suggests any strength she has anywhere else in the south. I have seen a poll of Florida that surggests that shes strong there too, even against Giuliani. Florida's demos must have changed since '04.

Michigan is typical for any Dem. If youre the Dem nominee and you cant win Michigan you might as well forget it.

Whats clear is that Giuliani is by far the hardest for her to beat. Thompson may be tough too, you cant really tell since he isnt declared yet. Its still waaaaay early though too. Remember how far Dukakais was ahead of Bush 41.

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Pluto:

I hope Giuliani becomes the Republican candidate. He folded to Clinton in NY in her first run at and election to the US Senate. His closet is as chock full of deadly skeletons as it was then. His negatives and polarizing effect by election day will be so much higher than Clinton's that the Dems would sweep up many an unexpected congressional seat.

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Uranus:

wishful thinking on your part Pluto.....

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