7/21/08; 500 LV, 4.5
Obama 50, McCain 47
Sen: Udall (D) 49, Schaffer (R) 46
Both presidential and senatorial candidates are statistically tied.
Although Obama leads... McCain is viewed more favorably—61% to Obama at 52%.
Schaffer's favorability has improved to 54% to equal Udall.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:07 PM
Looks like Rass is underestimating obama support everywhere. Oh, WAIT A MINUTE, isn't rasmussen a repub/conservative nutjob? Oh, well, yes, yes he is....never mind then.
Btw, finesod/marctx/undecidedwannabe -
Keep up the bogus lies/spin about obama, it only serves to show how utterly desperate and devoid of imagination the repubs have become. McCain is going to lose in a landslide, and no amount of praying/wishing/crying will change that. Better to save your time an energy for another time - reinvent your brand, become more libertarian, have a bake sale. But this election, well, this election is ovaahh.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:12 PM
This state has consistently picked Obama since the very first poll back in Feb. I think that McCain biggest hurdle in the state are educated whites and hispanics, besides Bush. I don't think that hispanics will express a bad opinion about McCain per se, but it doesn't translate into voting for McCain, the republican nominee. To me McCain would have been a great candidate if a couple of years younger, better with the economy, and inheriting a succesful republican president. However, that is not the picture. McCain is picking up the pieces that Bush and the republican party are leaving on the floor.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:26 PM
June Colorado Rasmussen had Obama +2. 538 has Obama snapshot and projection at +2 (leaning DEM not including this poll). RCP has Obama +4 (toss-up including this poll). Pollster.com has Obama +3 (leaning DEM including this poll).
June Colorado Rasmussen had Udall +9, so this poll shows lead down 6. 538 has Udall snapshot and projection as +8 (likely DEM not including this poll). A Udall win switches seat from GOP to DEM.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:27 PM
Election is not over yet. I've said it b4 and I will repeat it again. 10 minutes into the first debate. Does BO look sufficiently Presidential? Does he sound strong, confident and patriotic? If the answer is yes, tens of millions of viewers will essentially tune back out and be watching sit-coms and reality tv by the time the second commercial break rolls in - if that long. You will know - look at the National numbers and OH numbers 3 days following the debate. They will tell you everything.
As for this poll - OH is a COMPLETE microcosm of the US. I grew up in NY and went to school there, while stationed in Wheeling WV. Farms, small towns, suburbs, cities, etc.. Dems in the deep south part of the state sound like conservative Dems in Baton Rouge & Bilouxi. Reps in Clevland sound like liberal Reps in Manhattan. Despite the label Dem or Rep - area code in the state is far more determinative of voting pattern.
It is possible that in the next week the National polls suddenly flip dramatically, maybe a 15-20 swing - - and Obama begins to lose by 8-10 points nationally. But otherwise - I think sampling error is the issue here. National polls and OH state polls just generally don't diverge by that much. But if someone can show me different - I am happy to embrace my error.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:36 PM
Sorry - posted on wrong poll. Feel free to remove prior post.
Posted on July 22, 2008 6:41 PM
Poll doesn't favor Obama enough obviously a republican conspiracy despite that Colorado is right next to McCain's home state of Arizona!
Posted on July 22, 2008 8:42 PM
Its sad when you see the rantings of a brainwashed person that doesn't want to tolerate the opinions of others. Hitler and his brainwashed Nazis learned the hard way that intimidation only makes their enemies strong. Onelighton, it seems like you may have One Light On, but there's obviously no one home.
Posted on July 23, 2008 4:55 PM
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