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POLL: Rasmussen in Iowa, Kansas, Arkansas


Rasmussen Reports

Iowa
Obama 44, McCain 42... McCain 45, Clinton 42

Kansas
McCain 55, Obama 34... McCain 53, Clinton 39
Sen: Roberts 52, Slattery 40

Arkansas
McCain 57, Obama 33... Clinton 53, McCain 39

 

Comments
JWHICK:

The fact that 51% of the Iowa sample gave Bush a fair to excellent on his job approval indicates that this is a fairly conservative slanted poll. I would give the democrats an extra four or five points.

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JWHICK:

The fact that 51% of the Iowa sample gave Bush a fair to excellent on his job approval indicates that this is a fairly conservative slanted poll. I would give the democrats an extra four or five points.

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JWHICK:

The fact that 51% of the Iowa sample gave Bush a fair to excellent on his job approval indicates that this is a fairly conservative slanted poll. I would give the democrats an extra four or five points.

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kingsbridge77:
The fact that 51% of the Iowa sample gave Bush a fair to excellent on his job approval indicates that this is a fairly conservative slanted poll.

Fair means so-so, therefore I don't find this result as outrageous as you do.

Only 33% found Bush's job "excellent or good", which matches most other polls.

No other poll, and correct me if I'm wrong, includes an option for "fair", therefore it would be impossible to compare this 51% with other polls. It would be comparing apples and oranges.

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Yellow Dog Democrat:

Those Arkansas numbers are bizarre:

McCain 57 Obama 33 and Clinton 53 McCain 39

Are they even paying attention to the issues in Arkansas?! The same people who would vote for Clinton over McCain would vote for McCain over Obama?! This makes no sense at all. I mean it can't be the race issue can it?

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Nickberry:

Your are kidding, right? Race issue???

Remember that Hillary was First Lady of Arkansas for 12 years and she is well-liked in her former home state. She won the Democratic primary 70%-26%... and notably Arkansas has had quite a mix of Democratic and GOP governors.

This particular Arkansas poll indicates that if Hillary were the Democratic nominee then Arkansas would indeed be a swing state as her people have said.

I myself was surprised about how close the polls are in Iowa, considering the Obama people feel like he has that state locked up.

As well as how poorly Obama does in Kansas, since that is also another state that the Obama people say could/would most likely go his way. (Obama won the Democratic primary by a large number 74%-26%). Must have been a lot of wishful thinking that there were that many more Democrats than Republicans in that state.

In fact, if one is looking for a "race issue" look at the Kansas poll where Clinton bests Obama in the spread by 14 points (although both are significantly behind McCain). I am sure there is a small "race issue" in that spread... but in reality it is probably more of a "conservative" issue, since Hillary is closer to center than Obama.

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mago:

Nick,

I agree that the AR result is unsurprising; Clinton is quite popular there, and Obama is not.

YOur math on KS is faulty: 21 - 14 = 7.

Ras also polled Washington, Obama +11, Clinton +5. This is actually a pretty good result for Clinton, who struggles in the NW. Obama should have relatively little trouble holding OR and WA.

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