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POLL: Rasmussen Indiana (4/29)


Rasmussen Reports

Indiana
n=400 LV, 4/29
CLinton 46, Obama 41

 

Comments
axt113:

Yeah noteworthy is this poll doesn't count the reaction to Obama denouncing Wright, I expect his numbers will rise

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QuakerOats:

Denouncing Wright was damage control...it's still negative coverage and distracts from his message. His numbers won't rise from it, but ultimately he might have slowed the negative movement by taking the issue off the table. A little close to the election for his comfort, though.

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Knute:

I suspect this poll is pretty accurate for the early part of this week, and probably represents BHO's nadir or base/bottom line for IN.

We'll see what difference a week makes since the LVs have been pretty volatile in all of the state races during the final week. However, the Wright effect is probably overstated and these numbers may not change much. The exit polls in IN will be interesting to see how much of an effect the "controversy" has really had - the GOP 527s will be paying attention too.

The only technical factor I don't care for in this poll is the smallish sample size.

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ca-indp:

I agree about 40-45% is Obama's support and is not going to change much. That is by how much he will lose.
Unless u are a Obama hack on kool-aid like "axt113"; nobody is buying his "denouncing!!" of Wright.

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cinnamonape:

uch polls could actually be good for Obama, as it will make him the "comeback kid" should he improve on them. I agree that this likely represents the nadir, or near it, as the reports about Wright's statements were all over the right-wing talk shows and MSM by the time this poll was completed.

The initial reaction will be the most negative...then people will begin to reflect and say "Did JFK agree with all of what the Pope said on birth control and divorce?". Most people in Indiana are pretty sane and will decide on the issues of the pocket-book and the war.

In addition, on the Superdelegate front things have not been very good for Clinton. Today she just LOST two Supers that had been COMMITTED to her...one was a former Indiana Congressman who was Bill Clinton's appointment to head the DNC in the 1990's.

That's an utter repudiation of Clinton on the eve of the Primary.

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