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POLL: Rasmussen Iowa Caucus


A new Rasmussen Reports automated survey (Dem results, Rep results, methodology) of likely caucus goers in Iowa (conducted 10/10 and 10/14) finds:

  • Among 650 Republicans, former Gov. Mitt Romney (at 25%) leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (19%) and former Gov. Mike Huckabee (18%) in a statewide caucus; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 13%, Sen. John McCain at 6%.
  • Among 1,007 Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton (at 33%) leads former Sen. John Edwards (22%) and Sen. Barack Obama (21%) in a statewide caucus; Gov. Bill Richardson trails at 9%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

View all New York State Primary poll data at Pollster.com:

AIATopDems190.png AIAtopReps190.png
Democrats Republicans

 

Comments
Paul:

Compared to October ARG poll, Dems numbers similar. However, Giuliani poll numbers are 8 points less here and Huckabees' 14 points more ... I wonder if the Iowa caucus polls carry much higher error rates than non-caucus states?

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BDM:

My question is how much are they allowing for first time caucus goer's.

I believe the last caucus in 2004 had at least 23% WHO WERE FIRST TIME ATTENDEES.

Also with their tightest screen it represents 7% of voting age population which would result in 160,000 attendee's for the democratic caucus. In 2004 their were 122,000 attendees. This would be a 30% increase in attendee's from 2004

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LARRY:

EDWARDS WILL BE PRESIDENT
TED STRICKLAND VICE PRESIDENT
IN NOVEMBER

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