POLL: Rasmussen Iowa Caucus
Eric Dienstfrey | October 17, 2007
A new Rasmussen Reports automated survey (Dem results, Rep results, methodology) of likely caucus goers in Iowa (conducted 10/10 and 10/14) finds:
- Among 650 Republicans, former Gov. Mitt Romney (at 25%) leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (19%) and former Gov. Mike Huckabee (18%) in a statewide caucus; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 13%, Sen. John McCain at 6%.
- Among 1,007 Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton (at 33%) leads former Sen. John Edwards (22%) and Sen. Barack Obama (21%) in a statewide caucus; Gov. Bill Richardson trails at 9%.
- All other candidates receive less than five percent each.
View all New York State Primary poll data at Pollster.com:
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| Democrats | Republicans |


Comments
Compared to October ARG poll, Dems numbers similar. However, Giuliani poll numbers are 8 points less here and Huckabees' 14 points more ... I wonder if the Iowa caucus polls carry much higher error rates than non-caucus states?
Posted on October 18, 2007 12:54 AM
My question is how much are they allowing for first time caucus goer's.
I believe the last caucus in 2004 had at least 23% WHO WERE FIRST TIME ATTENDEES.
Also with their tightest screen it represents 7% of voting age population which would result in 160,000 attendee's for the democratic caucus. In 2004 their were 122,000 attendees. This would be a 30% increase in attendee's from 2004
Posted on October 18, 2007 3:47 AM
EDWARDS WILL BE PRESIDENT
TED STRICKLAND VICE PRESIDENT
IN NOVEMBER
Posted on November 21, 2007 8:09 AM
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