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POLL: Rasmussen Kansas (8/11)


Rasmussen Reports
8/11/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Kansas
McCain 55, Obama 41 (July: McCain 58, Obama 35)

Sen: Roberts (R-i) 56, Slattery (D) 37
(July: Roberts 61, Slattery 33)

 

Comments
David_T:

In other dramatic news today, experts project that Obama will win in the District of Columbia and McCain in Utah...

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sulthernao:

Kansas went by 20 to Bush in 2000 and 26 to Bush in 2004. Obama is definitely over preforming in Kansas.

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1magine:

David - OMG - also did you hear NY and CA might go to BO, though, by "not as much as they should..." lmao.

Meanwhile - most pollsters continue to regularly ignore OH, realizing it has no real role to play in the election of our President; and hence weekly Tuesday polling of 600-1,000 RV would be a waste of everyone's time.

Good work pollsters Survey USA, PPP, Quinnipiac, Gallup (Rasmussen - I actually don't need to hear from you) Harris, Pew, NYT...

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marctx:

FYI - realclearpolitics top ten rankings of battleground state pollsters accuracy in 2004:


1) Mason-Dixon
2) Rasmussen
3) SurveyUSA
4) Research 2000
5) Quinnipiac
6) Zogby
7) American Research Group
8) FOX News/Opinion Dynamics
9) Strategic Vision
10) CNN/USA Today/Gallup

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brambster:

FYI, in 2006, Rasmussen got 3 gubernatorial and senate races dead on, over-polled the Democrat in 6 races, and over-polled the Republican in 18 races. If you average their results for these races, they over-polled Republicans by +2.04 points.

Rasmussen's methodology might have worked well in 2004, but they don't seem to be able to track a changing political identification well enough to not skew it towards the party losing support.

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jsh1120:

brambster,

Do you have a source for your comments above? I've been looking for that information for months. I did my own count of US Senate races in 2006 and came to almost identical numbers but I no longer have the data.

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Tzal:

The last time anyone polled Ohio or PA was two weeks ago. With all the polling outfits, you think we'd see new numbers from those states at least weekly.

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brambster:

@jsh1120

I used the last poll results from the SurveyUSA Scorecard for 2006:

http://www.surveyusa.com/Scorecards/SUSA2006ElectionReportCard.htm

I tabulated the results for Rasmussen myself. There might have been a few races missed, and I didn't count Lieberman vs. Lamont, and I ignored anything that wasn't for Governor or Senate.

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Clint Cooper:

Rasmussen is a hard-right evangelical Christian and partisan Republican. Enough said.

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