POLL: Rasmussen Maine (8/12)
Eric Dienstfrey | August 15, 2008
Rasmussen Reports
8/12/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR
Maine
Obama 53, McCain 39
(July: Obama 49, McCain 41)
Sen:
Collins (R-i) 55, Allen (D) 40
(July: Collins 53, Allen 43)
Rasmussen Reports
8/12/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR
Maine
Obama 53, McCain 39
(July: Obama 49, McCain 41)
Sen:
Collins (R-i) 55, Allen (D) 40
(July: Collins 53, Allen 43)
Comments
ITS THE DEMOGRAPHICS,THERES NO WAY OBAMA CAN LOSE,THE WHITE VOTE WILL ONLY BE 73%,THAT MEANS THE REPUBLICANS ARE TOAST
Posted on August 15, 2008 4:58 PM
I'm a PUMA and I would still pick McCain over Hillary.
Obama is going to pick a pro-life VP and is already supported by a pro-life PA senator, so I'm not worried about McCain and Roe vs. Wade
He's run by the ethanol lobby that is just as evil as the oil companies (Monsanto, anyone?)
And Obama's huge supporter whose endorsement (and delegates) helped seal the deal for most superdelegates might not be mysogynist, but is a lying hypocrat that attacked the Clintons on their morals while he was cheating on his dying wife while parading her around to get pity points in the polls. If not for it being about to be found, he would have been a serious VP contender. The hypocrite and the megalomaniac.
Honestly, at least with McCain I know what I'd be getting.
Posted on August 15, 2008 5:37 PM
That last one was over Obama, of course, though I'm sure you guys would enjoy that slip.
Admittedly, if I could vote and if Nader would be running in PA, my vote would be for Nader, a true socialist, rather than McCain.
Posted on August 15, 2008 5:39 PM
@voice/poland/whatever
You know, posting this stuff and berating other people really does in fact hurt Obama instead of helping him. It's really no difference from your guttural reaction to Republican blow-hards talking about Obama being a Muslim.
So for the good of your own candidate and those that support him, would you please cool it?
Thanks
Posted on August 15, 2008 5:39 PM
someone got pwned!!
Posted on August 15, 2008 7:21 PM
These are good numbers for Obama and Collins, which seems to suggest that Independents are splitting their preferences.
Let's assume Obama wins Maine. The significance may be the extent of the victory as it compares to New Hampshire, which is a very key state for Obama with its 4 electoral votes. In the last four elections, Maine has voted more democratic than New Hampshire by 8 points on average. A 14 point win in Maine would then lead to the conclusion that Obama also wins New Hampshire. Currently 538 has Maine projected at Obama +12.4 and New Hampshire projected at Obama +3.1, a 9.3 point difference, very close to the historical (last four elections) difference of 8 points.
Posted on August 15, 2008 8:12 PM
mark this is what the voice_99 aka boskoprapemy cat and backwards aka youforgotpoland:
//You are a racist republican troll, boskop. Everyone here knows it. You just post lie after lie.
why you do not ban this kind of talk when you promote a monitored site,i'll never know.
but this person is winning his battle by chasing away discussion.if this is what you want... then do nothing.
we had expected better from pollster, that's all.
Posted on August 16, 2008 10:47 AM
@eugene:
Why do you write in capital letters? Do you have difficulty reading?
Posted on August 16, 2008 12:43 PM
Yeah, something needs to be done to ban accounts. I'm a pretty infrequent poster, but a regular reader of the comments. The partisanship by many of the posters doesn't bother me, as they keep their arguments rooted in the crosstabs, or how a recent current event might be affecting the race. Basically, I enjoy the armchair analysis by the many non-pollsters who comment, and I especially enjoy when Mark and others challenge and validate our assumptions through the blog posts.
I immensely enjoy the site, yet I completely stopped coming for awhile to check polls and other information here because of the number of "Watch out Billary!" and "Obama buyers remorse!" comments that flowed after every post. I was very happy when that died down after the primary and people went back to posting in complete thoughts. I'll just leave again if it continues to devolve like this over the next two and a half months.
To the people posting links to youtube and other bull****: The hearts and minds of the electorate are not going to be remotely influenced by your posts on this message board. If you actually care as much as your all caps posts suggest, go get plugged into the Obama and McCain campaigns in your state. They're always looking for more volunteers.
Posted on August 16, 2008 1:02 PM
boskop - you accused obama of doing nothing more than "sucking on coconuts".
enuf said.
Posted on August 16, 2008 4:59 PM
I'm interested in seeing the next poll from Ohio. Rasmussen had McCain up by 10 last month. I wonder if it was an outlier or what. Was there some event in Ohio that would cause that kind of a bump in the polls. Was Obama's trip to Europe cause that kind of negativity. It should be interesting to see where the next poll has it.
Posted on August 16, 2008 5:11 PM
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