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POLL: Rasmussen Minnesota (7/22)


Rasmussen Reports
7/22/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Minnesota
Obama 52, McCain 39
Sen: Franken (D) 49, Coleman (R-i) 46

 

Comments
carl29:

I hope McCain picks Tim Pawlenty. He will bring nothing to the ticket. It doesn't look like Minnesota is within reach. I really hope for Pawlenty or Jindal, they will do no harm to Obama. Doesn't look like McCain is in a strong position in MN, and Lousiana is going red no matter what. Now, I think Romney could hurt McCain with some fanatics who think that all mormons are like the ones who come out on TV and also with hispanics because during the primaries Romney positioned himself as the anti-immigrant candidate.

P.S: Jindal is my #1 choice. He is way too young, which is going to undermine McCain's argument that Obama is a young fellow. Second, he is not white, which could keep some "ethnic voters" home. Third, the guy is pretty nuts with religion, Have you heard that he is an exorcist?. I really hope he picks this guy!!!
McSame, listen to Newt Gingrich!!

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sherman:

Franken ahead?! Must be an outlier, much as I wish it were not.

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onelightonvoice:

Again, rass is wacky. I doubt the lead in either is that big. Although, mccain has been acting like a complete tool the last few weeks.

carl - I was hoping, nay, praying for jindal to be picked. Then those manchurian e-mails I've been getting about obama could just be sent out with jindal's name. Too bad he took himself out of the running. Rats.

I'd love pawlenty too. although the evangelical sheep would come out in droves since his wife is some kind of big prayer or something.

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marctx:

Obama's got this one in the bag. It would be nuts for McCain to pick Pawlenty or Jindal. My favs or Romney and Huckabee. I hope Obama picks Sebilious, Richardson, or Clark. Then the only qualified candidate would have a chance to win.

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onelightonvoice:

Also, the latest quinni shows franken getting trounced. I don't know how accurate quinni has been lately as they have mccain leading in CO and close in michigan, neither of which is going red this year. Maybe they forgot that all the college students in boulder are gone for the summer. Won't be the case come november though.

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Undecided:

I don't see where Quinnipiac disregarded the youth vote in their Colorado poll. Also one has to acknowledge that when it comes to college students, many of them vote absentee in their home state and are not necessarily registered as Colorado voters.

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Undecided:

Same goes for Minnesota college students.

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Dave:

I think Franken's ad, click above, has to take some of the credit. if Obama is so much further ahead than Franken, that's only because MN hasn't figured out just how much of a real progressive he is. once they understand this, he'll win in a landslide.

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Paul:

Rasmussen and Quinnipiac are certainly at odds in MN. with a 9 point difference for President and a 18 point difference for Senate. A compromise would suggest Obama leads by perhaps 8 points and Coleman by 6. The Quinnipiac MN poll just does not make sense (Obama +2) where in the same release they have WI +11. Since 1992, Wisconsin and Iowa have voted less Democratic for President than MN by 4.5 points. The fact is that Obama needs to win MN by a healthy margin (say 8 points) to essentially guarantee wins in WI and IA. Obama needs all three states.

As to Senate, Rasmussen has had the race close since April between Coleman and Franken.

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cinnamonape:

Definitely good news for Franken if one examines the Rassmussen trend. It may be that voters are taking him more seriously as a candidate now. I suspect that he had to overcome a bit of a "Pat Paulsen" effect.

If the next survey in the series supports this trend by being close to, or above this, then Franken has some serious "mo". Of course, the GOP Convention might help Coleman with free "air". But if it causes any serious dislocation of residents in Minnesota it might just backfire.

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