Since Nebraska allocates its electoral votes by congressional district, the Obama campaign is making a push to peel off CD-2 (Omaha). Bush won that district comfortably in 2000 and 2004, and Obama will have to do a lot better than 36% statewide to pull it off. But with all those undecideds, who knows?
Last month, SurveyUSA did a poll showing a smaller 9 point difference, but also broke things down by congressional district and measured changes according to VP candidate. I've heard the talk about CD-2, but the original expectation was that CD-1 was the best shot (think suburbs compared to cities). The SurveyUSA poll confirms that CD-1 is their best shot.
I very highly doubt that anyone will bother with Nebraska, even this one district. If the election is close enough to make this one flip, the election will have already been decided by bigger sources of votes.
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Since Nebraska allocates its electoral votes by congressional district, the Obama campaign is making a push to peel off CD-2 (Omaha). Bush won that district comfortably in 2000 and 2004, and Obama will have to do a lot better than 36% statewide to pull it off. But with all those undecideds, who knows?
Posted on June 25, 2008 3:19 PM
@Justin
Last month, SurveyUSA did a poll showing a smaller 9 point difference, but also broke things down by congressional district and measured changes according to VP candidate. I've heard the talk about CD-2, but the original expectation was that CD-1 was the best shot (think suburbs compared to cities). The SurveyUSA poll confirms that CD-1 is their best shot.
http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/06/01/a-closer-look-at-nebraska/
I very highly doubt that anyone will bother with Nebraska, even this one district. If the election is close enough to make this one flip, the election will have already been decided by bigger sources of votes.
Posted on June 25, 2008 6:18 PM
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