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POLL: Rasmussen New Mexico (7/24)



Rasmussen Reports
7/24/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

New Mexico
Obama 49, McCain 43 (June: Obama 47, McCain 39)
Sen: Udall (D) 61, Pearce (R) 35

 

Comments
1magine:

No surprise. Anyone see the cross tabs?

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Paul:

Let's take Senate first. Polling average is +24 for Udall, which represents an additional seat for the Democrats. Along with Warner in VA, these are the best shots for DEM pickups.

Obama at +6 is consistent with other polls. Pollster.com trend is Obama +7.8. 538 projects Obama +4.3. For Obama to win: Kerry states plus Iowa = 259; plus New Mexico = 264. Obama then needs 6 more. Unless Obama wins Ohio or Virginia, New Mexico appears a must state. 538 has NM tied for the 6th most important state along with PA and the 3rd best for return on investment.

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