This, and the most recent Quinnipiac poll do make the most recent SUSA results look like an outlier - at least until something else comes out of left field.
SUSA is normally quite reliable, but it's worth questioning their sample size. I'd also like to see the various pollsters lighten up on the interpretation and editorialization they draw from their own results. It makes one wonder how much of a Heisenberg effect we might be seeing.
If this Rasmussen does represent a stabilization of the numbers in PA, that would likely mean Hillary will pick up 10 delegates - maybe. Hardly enough to offset Obama's likely gains in NC. And Indiana is even less promising than PA to help Hillary close the gap.
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This, and the most recent Quinnipiac poll do make the most recent SUSA results look like an outlier - at least until something else comes out of left field.
SUSA is normally quite reliable, but it's worth questioning their sample size. I'd also like to see the various pollsters lighten up on the interpretation and editorialization they draw from their own results. It makes one wonder how much of a Heisenberg effect we might be seeing.
If this Rasmussen does represent a stabilization of the numbers in PA, that would likely mean Hillary will pick up 10 delegates - maybe. Hardly enough to offset Obama's likely gains in NC. And Indiana is even less promising than PA to help Hillary close the gap.
Stay tuned - the fun just keeps on coming.
Posted on April 8, 2008 3:11 PM
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