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POLL: Rasmussen Utah, New Mexico


Rasmussen Reports

Utah
McCain 52, Obama 33
Gov: Huntsman (R-i) 66, Springmeyer (D) 19

New Mexico
Obama 47, McCain 39
Sen: Udall (D) 58, Pearce (R) 30

 

Comments
FleetAdmiralJ:

I guess this is Utah day. And we finally get a new poll for New Mexico. You'd think a state like that would get polled more than twice a month.

In any case, looking good for Obama in New Mexico, and McCain nearing 50% in Utah seems really bad for him...

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sherman:

Yes, considering Bush got 71.5% in Utah in 2004, less than 60% by McCain is not too good.

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onelightonvoice:

You can put it on the boooaaarrrdd, YESSS.

Scratch NM from the battleground states list. NEEEXT!

With Richardson in control there, that is a safe blue state. If I were McSame, I'd worry about Texas. There are a lot of latinos in south Texas that may go blue and heavily so. If the Clintons campaign down there hard, watch out.

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desirous:

Latinos here in Texas will break hard for Obama. McCain registered 22% Latino support here in Texas in the last survey. Since most Texas Latinos live in their own geographical enclaves, breaking through to those communities is very difficult when they don't like you. Ask Obama about his experience in the primary here.

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Nickberry:

Just wondering....Why would Latinos break hard for Obama in Texas after he had a very difficult experience in the primary?


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Nickberry:

Rasmussen is supposed to have the Utah Senate poll out later today, a very important race... which may explain why Utah is being polled so much.

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mago:

Nick,

How could a candidate perform better in the general than in the primary? Perhaps it will help you to ponder how it can be that McCain was crushed in Utah by Romney and yet is favored to win the state in November...how is it possible?

I wouldn't hold my breath for updates on the 'very important' Utah Senate race.

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josephj:

Nickberry,

Check last week's Latino poll. It shows a big swing toward Obama since the primaries. As a voting block, Latinos love the Clintons, but they'll be loyal Democrats first and foremost this year.

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Nickberry:

Yes, I made a mistake on the Utah Senate rate... but really why be so rude? And that is a rhetorical question, so do not answer.

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Nickberry:

Yet Latinos voted for Bush 35% against Gore and 45% against Kerry.

Obama is not the Clintons.

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Mike_in_CA:

@Nick,

Several polls in the last few weeks have shown overwhelming and consistent support among Latinos for Obama. FirstRead has already debunked the "Latinos won't vote for Obama" meme that was never based on any valid conjecture.

Anecdotally, Latinos weren't voting AGAINST Obama in the primaries, but rather FOR Clinton.

Finally, why will Latinos break overwhelmingly Democrat this year instead of like with Gore/Kerry? Because the median age of their population is the youngest of all the demographics. Newer, younger voters across the country are identifying Democrat, so it would make sense that in such a young demographic there are higher proportions of Democrats. Also, I think a lot of Latinos feel like the Repubs threw them under the bus with immigration, as well as a number of other horrific things that the Repubs have done for eight years.

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marctx:

I'm a Latino former Clinton supporter that is now supporting McCain. A lot of Latinos will stay home or support McCain. These polls of Latinos are meaningless. Haven't you ever heard George Lopez old joke that when someone knocks on a Mexican's door, we hide behind the couch...ha ha! It's true, a large percentage of Latinos don't participate in no stinking polls. Only the young voters are answering those calls and you know who they support.

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josephj:

@marctx: Are you counting George Lopez as young? Because he's an Obama supporter...I'm just trying to see how he fits in your demographic model.

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marctx:

josephj: Obviously I was talking about the joke that is referring to regular barrio Mexicans. George Lopez left the barrio a long time ago and joined the latte drinking arugula club in Obamaland.

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carl29:

Guys, the world is full of dumb people: Please don't join the club. You don't argue against the facts. When the facts are in your favor, man, don't argue. Some many pollsters showing the same thing tells you something. No pollster has show McCain support among hispanic beyond a third. So, if someone wants to believe that there is a conspiracy of pollsters and voters, let them believe it. Whenever, I come across with dumb people I just treat them as they deserve: I don't pay attention.

THE FACTS ARE THE FACTS!!! DON'T ARGUE WITH THE FACTS. REMEMBER PEOPLE ARE ENTITLE TO THEIR OPINIONS. THIS IS A DEMOCRACY.

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josephj:

marctx: You've got to show me how to get to Obamaland some time. I keep hearing how it's overflowing with lattes and arugula, which really appeals to me as an elitist. I personally like to throw both in a blender to make my own two-in-one latte-arugula elitist smoothie, as I think reflect on how I'm better than everyone else.

Sometimes I wonder how Obamaland can find enough elitist treats for 56% of Americans...That's a lot of arugula!

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Nickberry:

Well... Mike_in_CA... The GOP shot down comprehensive immigration reform... but it was Bush and McCain and Teddy Kennedy who were sponsoring/pushing for it. Hard to see a backlash against McCain here.

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Nickberry:

Udall's lead is the real news. This Senate race is for GOP Pete Domenici's seat. Increasing the Democrat majority in the Senate is the real prize if someone truly believes in CHANGE. The Democrats need a filibuster-proof majority... no matter who is elected president.

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MC_from_Cali.:

Nickberry, when you say that McSame pushed for immigration reform that is true. But what is also true is that McSame has come back much more to the right in the past 6 months on many issues. Just like Stephen Colbert was saying last week, Mccain doesn't agree with Bush on the issues, except for immigration, the war, gas prices, oil drilling, education, foreign policy, etc.

Face it people, McSame is McBush, and the american people know it, just look at the polls.

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marctx:

carl29 & josephj:

I was kidding around with the George Lopez joke and the Obamaland stuff. The polls are probably close around a third of Latinos will vote for McCain. I'm hoping it will grow to more like 40+ percent. I really am a democrat Clinton supporter that now supports McCain for a lot of reasons. Some bloggers take the talking points and generalizations to seriously. I'm surprised McCain is even in the game considering Bush's approval rating. Some of the polls are so close, it's going to get fun after the VP selections. For McCain to poll within a few points on the largest poll, Gallup is truly a testament to the disconnect between the generic democrat vs. republican polls when compared to Obama vs. McCain. Obama's problem with closing the deal against Clinton might carry until the general election against McCain. ...or it will be a blow-out. Who knows at this point.

Nickberry:

You're "filibuster-proof majority" is the most scariest thing considering Obama might be president. This country is more center than left. I worry if that does happen, the country will move to far left.

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