7/16/08; 500 LV, 4.5
McCain 48, Obama 47
Sen: Warner (D) 59, Gilmore (R) 36
Strategic Vision 7/18
McCain 38 Obama 47
Posted on July 18, 2008 12:09 PM
Interesting that the only recent poll that doesn't show this as a squeaker is the Zogby Interactive. I hate Zogby's "interactive" methods (perhaps they would be less biased in a State like Virginia) but it does suggest something that might be important in Virginia.
Zogby included Barr in its survey options...who carried 6% of the vote. If these were McCain voters it would mesh precisely with the other polls.
Posted on July 18, 2008 12:52 PM
How come rasmussen doesnt include Barr or Nader in their polls? In states like VA or NC it could have a big effect.
Posted on July 18, 2008 2:07 PM
Maybe Barr and Nader have not filed for the election/ballot yet in those states. Nader is accepted in 12 states to date.
Nader has a map at http://www.votenader.org/
Posted on July 18, 2008 4:56 PM
Poll shows toss-up for President, good news for Obama. I invite pollsters to project a realistic scenario where McCain loses Virginia and wins the election. As to Senate, race over and seat changes from GOP to DEM.
Posted on July 18, 2008 9:34 PM
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