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POLL: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Iowa Caucus


The fifth and last in a succession of Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby statewide tracking surveys of likely caucus goers in Iowa (conducted 12/30 through 1/2) finds:

  • Among 905 likely Democratic caucus goers, Sen. Barack Obama receives 31%, former Sen. John Edwards at 27%, Sen. Hillary Clinton 24% in a statewide caucus; Gov. Bill Richardson trails at 7%, Sen. Joe Biden at 5%.
  • Among 914 likely Republican caucus goers, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 31%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 25% in a statewide caucus; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 11%, Sen. John McCain and Rep. Ron Paul at 10%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 6%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 3.3% for both subgroups.

 

Comments

Hi,

Can someone please get the complete results from Zogby? I don't believe this last poll for a minute. I suspect he changed his "model" to accomodate the DMR poll.

I also suspect he will shift it back later today since 2 polls (ARG and IA) show either a Hillary win or closer race.

It is almost impossible to love 7 points in a tracking poll. It would mean the last day would be around 22 or lower. One of the first days had to be higher than 31 because Clinton had 30 on the 3rd update. So to go from >32 to

Please get the complete crosstabs, stats, dems/ind. breakdown, and see if this could be true, please.

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