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POLL: Rossman/MIRS/Denno-Noor (D) MI Primary


A new Rossman Group/MIRS/Denno-Noor (D) statewide survey of of likely primary voters in Michigan (conducted 1/6 through 1/7) finds:

  • Among 300 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 23%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 22%, Sen. John McCain at 18% in a statewide primary; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 8%.
  • Among 300 likely Democratic primary voters asked to choose from "a Democratic field that does not include Barack Obama or John Edwards," Sen. Hillary Clinton runs at 48% in a statewide primary; "uncommitted" at 28%, "unsure" at 11%, and "other" and 10%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 5.8% for each subgroup.

 

Comments
Bryce:

Why were Obama and Edwards not included in the survey?

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Rich B.:

Because their names will not be on the ballot.

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Jane:

Their names are not on the ballot because they took them off. Edwards was not about to offend Iowa in any way and Obama made the same decision to pander.

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Andrew:

I'm a Democrat, but I admit that I wouldn't trust a poll conducted by a Democratic firm, because conflict of interest is present.
It could be argued that Democrats view Romney as a weaker candidate than John McCain in a hypothetical General Election, and the pollster purposely placed Romney in first.

I wouldn't trust a Republican-affiliated firm either, since it might take sides.

The poll may be honest, but the coflict is there.
I trust non-partisan pollsters better.

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Kevin:

Call it pandering or not, but they'd made a commitment to the DNC to do this, and they followed through. Hillary Clinton has her own priorities. I live in Michigan and I'm angry that I can't vote for my candidate, but I'm angrier at the games that the state Democratic establishment has played to support Hillary Clinton.

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Paul:

The Democratic primary in Michigan as well as Florida should not be reported or considered in any way as they have no merit. The Democratic leadership in Michigan and Florida decided to violate national party rules by holding their primaries in January. The party has stated they will strip both states of their delegates. Obama and Edwards and others took the high road and agreed they would not campaign and that their names would not be on the ballot. To make the situation totally bizarre, a write-in line does exist on the ballot but the vote would not count in any way. So the choice essentially in Clinton, Kucinich and other. What can we learn from this election? Nothing.

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