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POLL: Siena New York State Primary


A new Siena College statewide survey of New York (conducted 1/14 through 1/17) finds:

  • 311 Registered Democrats (± 5.6%)

    48 Clinton
    23 Obama
    10 Edwards
    19 Dont know/No opinion
  • 174 Registered Republicans (± 7.4%)

    36 McCain
    24 Giuliani
    10 Romney
    7 Huckabee
    6 Thompson
    17 Don't know/No opinion

 

Comments

The McCain number is impressing, right up until you do the math on the margin of error and realize that polling only 174 people in New York doesn't mean much.

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Patrick:

While the moe is troubling, Sienna ran polls on this race 10 times in 2007 -- in those, Giuliani's support ranged 40-53% and McCain's ranged 13-20%. We'll see what Quinnipiac has to say this week. But any way you slice it, Rudy's campaign coffers will continue to shrink based on dropping support in all his "gimme" states (NY, CA, NJ, CT, etc.). He needs a big win in FL to even put himself back in contention there (and then will still have to spend money in his own backyard to ensure a win in the winner-take-all states).

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